Swedish Allsvenskan

Malmo FF vs Djurgardens prediction

0 – 3
Full-time

Match summary

Malmo FF vs Djurgardens (Swedish Allsvenskan), 25/08/2026, finished 0-3: Djurgardens won.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Malmo FF
36%
Draw
27%
Djurgardens
37%
Actual result: Malmo FF 0 – 3 Djurgardens · Djurgardens winJarvis gave this outcome: 37% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Malmo FF, negative favours Djurgardens) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Malmo FF - Djurgardens)-0.01
Expected total goals2.87
Expected goals Malmo FF / Djurgardens1.43 / 1.44
Both teams to score (yes / no)59.1% / 40.9%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 79.1%
Over 2.5 goals 54.6%
Over 3.5 goals 32.3%
First half
First-half result (Malmo FF / draw / Djurgardens)28.6% / 42.5% / 28.9%
A goal in the first half71.3%
Two or more in the first half38.1%
Half-time then full-time
Djurgardens lead at half-time then Djurgardens win21.8%
Malmo FF lead at half-time then Malmo FF win21.6%
Level at half-time then draw16.2%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Malmo FF's side
Malmo FF −2.012.0%
Malmo FF −1.7514.7%
Malmo FF −1.517.4%
Malmo FF −1.2522.1%
Malmo FF −1.026.8%
Malmo FF −0.7531.5%
Malmo FF −0.536.2%
Malmo FF −0.2543.0%
Malmo FF draw no bet (0.0)49.8%
Malmo FF +0.2556.6%
Malmo FF +0.563.4%
Malmo FF +0.7568.1%
Malmo FF +1.072.8%
Malmo FF +1.582.3%
Malmo FF +2.087.8%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Malmo FF win2.76
Draw3.67
Djurgardens win2.73
Over 2.51.83
Under 2.52.20

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Malmo FF wins by more than 1 goals17%
Djurgardens wins by more than 1 goals18%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 25/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.