UEFA Champions League Qualifiers

NK Celje vs Slovan Bratislava prediction

1 – 2

Full-time

Match summary

NK Celje vs Slovan Bratislava (Champions League), 27/08/2026, finished 1-2: Slovan Bratislava won. Before the match Jarvis gave NK Celje 37%, the draw 30% and Slovan Bratislava 32%; the actual result had a 32% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 3 goals; Jarvis expected 2.6.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

NK Celje

37%

Draw

30%

Slovan Bratislava

32%

Actual result: NK Celje 1 – 2 Slovan Bratislava · Slovan Bratislava winJarvis gave this outcome: 32%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours NK Celje, negative favours Slovan Bratislava) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (NK Celje - Slovan Bratislava)+0.11

Expected total goals2.57

Expected goals NK Celje / Slovan Bratislava1.34 / 1.23

Both teams to score (yes / no)54.2% / 45.8%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 74.7%

Over 2.5 goals 47.5%

Over 3.5 goals 25.8%

First half

First-half result (NK Celje / draw / Slovan Bratislava)28.6% / 46.0% / 25.4%

A goal in the first half67.0%

Two or more in the first half33.8%

Half-time then full-time

NK Celje lead at half-time then NK Celje win22.4%

Level at half-time then draw19.2%

Slovan Bratislava lead at half-time then Slovan Bratislava win19.0%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from NK Celje's side

NK Celje −2.012.2%

NK Celje −1.7515.1%

NK Celje −1.518.0%

NK Celje −1.2522.8%

NK Celje −1.027.7%

NK Celje −0.7532.6%

NK Celje −0.537.4%

NK Celje −0.2545.0%

NK Celje draw no bet (0.0)52.6%

NK Celje +0.2560.2%

NK Celje +0.567.7%

NK Celje +0.7572.2%

NK Celje +1.076.6%

NK Celje +1.585.5%

NK Celje +2.090.3%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

NK Celje win2.67

Draw3.30

Slovan Bratislava win3.10

Over 2.52.11

Under 2.51.90

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

NK Celje wins by more than 1 goals18%

Slovan Bratislava wins by more than 1 goals15%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

NK Celje

vs RB SalzburgFri 23/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
vs SK Sturm Graz (away)Fri 06/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Slovan Bratislava

vs AS Roma (away)Wed 21/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
vs LASK Linz (away)Wed 04/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27

Other matches on 27/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Champions League table, latest

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint-Germain	2	+7	6
2	Barcelona	2	+7	6
3	Aston Villa	2	+7	6
...
35	Galatasaray	2	-5	0
36	Slovan Bratislava	2	-8	0

See the full Champions League table