UEFA Champions League Qualifiers

Viking vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction

3 – 1
Full-time

Match summary

Viking vs Dinamo Zagreb (Champions League), 27/08/2026, finished 3-1: Viking won. Before the match Jarvis gave Viking 39%, the draw 28% and Dinamo Zagreb 33%; the actual result had a 39% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 4 goals; Jarvis expected 3.1.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Viking
39%
Draw
28%
Dinamo Zagreb
33%
Actual result: Viking 3 – 1 Dinamo Zagreb · Viking winJarvis gave this outcome: 39% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Viking, negative favours Dinamo Zagreb) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Viking - Dinamo Zagreb)+0.12
Expected total goals3.05
Expected goals Viking / Dinamo Zagreb1.58 / 1.47
Both teams to score (yes / no)63.1% / 36.9%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 82.8%
Over 2.5 goals 58.8%
Over 3.5 goals 36.4%
First half
First-half result (Viking / draw / Dinamo Zagreb)30.2% / 42.9% / 26.9%
A goal in the first half72.6%
Two or more in the first half42.0%
Half-time then full-time
Viking lead at half-time then Viking win23.5%
Dinamo Zagreb lead at half-time then Dinamo Zagreb win20.0%
Level at half-time then draw16.7%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Viking's side
Viking −2.014.2%
Viking −1.7517.2%
Viking −1.520.3%
Viking −1.2524.9%
Viking −1.029.5%
Viking −0.7534.1%
Viking −0.538.7%
Viking −0.2545.6%
Viking draw no bet (0.0)52.6%
Viking +0.2559.5%
Viking +0.566.5%
Viking +0.7570.7%
Viking +1.074.9%
Viking +1.583.4%
Viking +2.088.6%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Viking win2.59
Draw3.59
Dinamo Zagreb win2.99
Over 2.51.70
Under 2.52.43

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Viking wins by more than 1 goals20%
Dinamo Zagreb wins by more than 1 goals17%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs Aston Villa (away)Thu 22/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
  • vs Sabah FKThu 05/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
  • vs NEC NijmegenThu 22/10, 23:45 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
  • vs Sunderland (away)Fri 06/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Other matches on 27/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Champions League table, latest

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