Swedish Superettan

Orebro vs Varbergs BoIS prediction

Orebro

00:00, 26/08

GMT+7

Result not verified

Varbergs BoIS

Match summary

Orebro vs Varbergs BoIS (Swedish Superettan), 26/08/2026 has been played; a verified score is not on record yet.

Outcome probability

Jarvis prediction from BEFORE kickoff. The match has finished but we have not verified the score yet, so there is no comparison below.

Result not verified

Orebro

32%

Draw

29%

Varbergs BoIS

39%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Orebro, negative favours Varbergs BoIS) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Orebro - Varbergs BoIS)-0.16

Expected total goals2.77

Expected goals Orebro / Varbergs BoIS1.31 / 1.46

Both teams to score (yes / no)57.8% / 42.2%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 78.1%

Over 2.5 goals 52.3%

Over 3.5 goals 30.1%

First half

First-half result (Orebro / draw / Varbergs BoIS)25.7% / 44.3% / 30.1%

A goal in the first half69.6%

Two or more in the first half37.0%

Half-time then full-time

Varbergs BoIS lead at half-time then Varbergs BoIS win23.6%

Orebro lead at half-time then Orebro win18.9%

Level at half-time then draw17.7%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Orebro's side

Orebro −2.010.0%

Orebro −1.7512.4%

Orebro −1.514.8%

Orebro −1.2519.1%

Orebro −1.023.4%

Orebro −0.7527.7%

Orebro −0.532.0%

Orebro −0.2539.2%

Orebro draw no bet (0.0)46.4%

Orebro +0.2553.7%

Orebro +0.560.9%

Orebro +0.7565.7%

Orebro +1.070.6%

Orebro +1.580.3%

Orebro +2.086.4%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Orebro win3.12

Draw3.46

Varbergs BoIS win2.56

Over 2.51.91

Under 2.52.10

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Orebro wins by more than 1 goals15%

Varbergs BoIS wins by more than 1 goals20%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 26/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.