Swedish Allsvenskan

Sirius vs Malmo FF prediction

Sirius

0 – 1

Full-time

Malmo FF

Match summary

Sirius vs Malmo FF (Swedish Allsvenskan), 01/09/2026, finished 0-1: Malmo FF won.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Sirius

57%

Draw

22%

Malmo FF

21%

Actual result: Sirius 0 – 1 Malmo FF · Malmo FF winJarvis gave this outcome: 21%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Sirius, negative favours Malmo FF) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Sirius - Malmo FF)+0.88

Expected total goals3.25

Expected goals Sirius / Malmo FF2.07 / 1.18

Both teams to score (yes / no)61.3% / 38.7%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 84.2%

Over 2.5 goals 63.1%

Over 3.5 goals 40.9%

First half

First-half result (Sirius / draw / Malmo FF)42.7% / 37.8% / 19.4%

A goal in the first half76.0%

Two or more in the first half43.8%

Half-time then full-time

Sirius lead at half-time then Sirius win36.7%

Level at half-time then Sirius win17.6%

Level at half-time then draw12.6%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Sirius's side

Sirius −2.026.2%

Sirius −1.7530.6%

Sirius −1.535.0%

Sirius −1.2540.5%

Sirius −1.046.0%

Sirius −0.7551.5%

Sirius −0.557.0%

Sirius −0.2562.6%

Sirius draw no bet (0.0)68.2%

Sirius +0.2573.8%

Sirius +0.579.4%

Sirius +0.7582.5%

Sirius +1.085.6%

Sirius +1.591.7%

Sirius +2.094.6%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Sirius win1.75

Draw4.46

Malmo FF win4.86

Over 2.51.59

Under 2.52.71

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Sirius wins by more than 1 goals35%

Malmo FF wins by more than 1 goals8%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 01/09 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.