Icelandic Urvalsdeild

Thor vs Keflavik prediction

Thor

00:00, 16/08

GMT+7

Result not verified

Keflavik

Match summary

Thor vs Keflavik (Icelandic Urvalsdeild), 16/08/2026 has been played; a verified score is not on record yet.

Outcome probability

Jarvis prediction from BEFORE kickoff. The match has finished but we have not verified the score yet, so there is no comparison below.

Result not verified

Thor

33%

Draw

25%

Keflavik

42%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Thor, negative favours Keflavik) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Thor - Keflavik)-0.23

Expected total goals3.48

Expected goals Thor / Keflavik1.62 / 1.85

Both teams to score (yes / no)69.2% / 30.8%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 87.7%

Over 2.5 goals 67.5%

Over 3.5 goals 45.8%

First half

First-half result (Thor / draw / Keflavik)27.1% / 39.9% / 33.0%

A goal in the first half77.0%

Two or more in the first half48.5%

Half-time then full-time

Keflavik lead at half-time then Keflavik win25.9%

Thor lead at half-time then Thor win19.5%

Level at half-time then draw14.4%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Thor's side

Thor −2.011.7%

Thor −1.7514.2%

Thor −1.516.7%

Thor −1.2520.7%

Thor −1.024.7%

Thor −0.7528.7%

Thor −0.532.7%

Thor −0.2539.0%

Thor draw no bet (0.0)45.3%

Thor +0.2551.6%

Thor +0.557.9%

Thor +0.7562.5%

Thor +1.067.1%

Thor +1.576.3%

Thor +2.082.9%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Thor win3.06

Draw3.96

Keflavik win2.38

Over 2.51.48

Under 2.53.08

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Thor wins by more than 1 goals17%

Keflavik wins by more than 1 goals24%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 16/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.