UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers

Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Braga prediction

0 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Braga (UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers), 23/07/2026, finished 0-1: Braga won. Before the match Jarvis gave Zeleznicar Pancevo 8%, the draw 14% and Braga 78%; the actual result had a 78% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 0-3. The match had 1 goal; Jarvis expected 3.2.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Zeleznicar Pancevo

Draw

14%

Braga

78%

Actual result: Zeleznicar Pancevo 0 – 1 Braga · Braga winJarvis gave this outcome: 78% ✓

Probability trajectory · full match

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Zeleznicar Pancevo, negative favours Braga) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Tap a row to see how that market has moved.

Supremacy (Zeleznicar Pancevo - Braga)-1.84

Expected total goals3.20

Expected goals Zeleznicar Pancevo / Braga0.68 / 2.52

Market-standard price (decimal)

Zeleznicar Pancevo win12.24

Draw7.02

Braga win1.29

Over 2.51.61

Under 2.52.64

This is the market-standard price. Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 3.5 goals39.9%

Over 2.5 goals62.1%

Over 1.5 goals82.7%

Full Asian handicap (predicted probability)

Lines shown from Zeleznicar Pancevo's side

Zeleznicar Pancevo +1.544.6%

Zeleznicar Pancevo +2.055.6%

Zeleznicar Pancevo +1.033.5%

Zeleznicar Pancevo +0.7528.0%

Zeleznicar Pancevo +0.522.4%

Zeleznicar Pancevo +0.2518.9%

Zeleznicar Pancevo draw no bet (0.0)15.3%

Zeleznicar Pancevo −0.2511.7%

Zeleznicar Pancevo −0.58.2%

Zeleznicar Pancevo −0.756.6%

Zeleznicar Pancevo −1.05.1%

Zeleznicar Pancevo −1.253.5%

Zeleznicar Pancevo −1.52.0%

Zeleznicar Pancevo −1.751.6%

Zeleznicar Pancevo −2.01.2%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Goal margin

Zeleznicar Pancevo wins by more than 1 goals2%

Braga wins by more than 1 goals55%

Both teams to score

Yes / no45.3% / 54.7%

First half

First-half result (Zeleznicar Pancevo / draw / Braga)10.3% / 32.1% / 57.6%

A goal in the first half76.6%

Two or more in the first half42.0%

Half-time then full-time

Braga lead at half-time then Braga win54.1%

Level at half-time then Braga win20.2%

Level at half-time then draw8.6%

Other matches on 23/07 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.