Match summary
Ajax vs Shelbourne (UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers), 07/08/2026, finished 3-1: Ajax won. Before the match Jarvis gave Ajax 93%, the draw 5% and Shelbourne 2%; the actual result had a 93% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 3-0. The match had 4 goals; Jarvis expected 4.0.
Outcome probability
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Probability trajectory · full match
Other matches on 07/08 (GMT+7)
- Hradec Kralove vs Besiktas00:00 · Europa League0–1
- Lech Poznan vs Klaksvikar Itrottarfelag00:00 · Europa League1–0
- Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos FC00:00 · Europa League1–0
- PAOK vs Anderlecht00:45 · Europa League0–1
- Thun vs Vikingur Reykjavik01:00 · Europa League3–0
- Benfica vs Hearts02:00 · Europa League6–1
The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.