UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers

Beitar Jerusalem vs Austria Wien prediction

1 – 2

Full-time

Match summary

Beitar Jerusalem vs Austria Wien (UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers), 07/08/2026, finished 1-2: Austria Wien won. Before the match Jarvis gave Beitar Jerusalem 46%, the draw 30% and Austria Wien 24%; the actual result had a 24% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 3 goals; Jarvis expected 2.4.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Beitar Jerusalem

46%

Draw

30%

Austria Wien

24%

Actual result: Beitar Jerusalem 1 – 2 Austria Wien · Austria Wien winJarvis gave this outcome: 24%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Beitar Jerusalem, negative favours Austria Wien) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Beitar Jerusalem - Austria Wien)+0.47

Expected total goals2.42

Expected goals Beitar Jerusalem / Austria Wien1.44 / 0.97

Both teams to score (yes / no)49.1% / 50.9%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 71.1%

Over 2.5 goals 43.4%

Over 3.5 goals 22.5%

First half

First-half result (Beitar Jerusalem / draw / Austria Wien)33.6% / 46.5% / 19.9%

A goal in the first half65.0%

Two or more in the first half30.9%

Half-time then full-time

Beitar Jerusalem lead at half-time then Beitar Jerusalem win28.1%

Level at half-time then draw19.5%

Level at half-time then Beitar Jerusalem win17.1%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Beitar Jerusalem's side

Beitar Jerusalem −2.016.3%

Beitar Jerusalem −1.7520.0%

Beitar Jerusalem −1.523.6%

Beitar Jerusalem −1.2529.2%

Beitar Jerusalem −1.034.9%

Beitar Jerusalem −0.7540.6%

Beitar Jerusalem −0.546.2%

Beitar Jerusalem −0.2553.7%

Beitar Jerusalem draw no bet (0.0)61.2%

Beitar Jerusalem +0.2568.6%

Beitar Jerusalem +0.576.1%

Beitar Jerusalem +0.7579.8%

Beitar Jerusalem +1.083.5%

Beitar Jerusalem +1.590.9%

Beitar Jerusalem +2.094.2%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Beitar Jerusalem win2.16

Draw3.35

Austria Wien win4.18

Over 2.52.30

Under 2.51.77

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Beitar Jerusalem wins by more than 1 goals24%

Austria Wien wins by more than 1 goals9%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 07/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.