Turkish Super League

Besiktas vs Corum Belediyespor prediction

6 – 2
Full-time

Match summary

Besiktas vs Corum Belediyespor (Turkish Super League), 01/09/2026, finished 6-2: Besiktas won. Before the match Jarvis gave Besiktas 67%, the draw 21% and Corum Belediyespor 12%; the actual result had a 67% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 8 goals; Jarvis expected 2.8.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Besiktas
67%
Draw
21%
Corum Belediyespor
12%
Actual result: Besiktas 6 – 2 Corum Belediyespor · Besiktas winJarvis gave this outcome: 67% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Besiktas, negative favours Corum Belediyespor) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Besiktas - Corum Belediyespor)+1.29
Expected total goals2.79
Expected goals Besiktas / Corum Belediyespor2.04 / 0.75
Both teams to score (yes / no)46.3% / 53.7%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 77.1%
Over 2.5 goals 52.8%
Over 3.5 goals 30.6%
First half
First-half result (Besiktas / draw / Corum Belediyespor)48.4% / 38.8% / 12.8%
A goal in the first half71.1%
Two or more in the first half36.1%
Half-time then full-time
Besiktas lead at half-time then Besiktas win44.1%
Level at half-time then Besiktas win20.7%
Level at half-time then draw13.0%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Besiktas's side
Besiktas −2.032.3%
Besiktas −1.7537.4%
Besiktas −1.542.6%
Besiktas −1.2548.7%
Besiktas −1.054.9%
Besiktas −0.7561.0%
Besiktas −0.567.1%
Besiktas −0.2572.3%
Besiktas draw no bet (0.0)77.4%
Besiktas +0.2582.6%
Besiktas +0.587.7%
Besiktas +0.7589.9%
Besiktas +1.092.1%
Besiktas +1.596.5%
Besiktas +2.097.9%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Besiktas win1.49
Draw4.85
Corum Belediyespor win8.14
Over 2.51.89
Under 2.52.12

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Besiktas wins by more than 1 goals43%
Corum Belediyespor wins by more than 1 goals4%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs Crystal PalaceFri 23/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
  • vs Celtic (away)Fri 06/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Other matches on 01/09 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.