UEFA Europa League
Hoffenheim vs Besiktas prediction
02:00, 16/10
GMT+7
Kicking off soonOutcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Hoffenheim
50%
Draw
23%
Besiktas
27%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Hoffenheim, negative favours Besiktas) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Hoffenheim - Besiktas)+0.55
Expected total goals3.20
Expected goals Hoffenheim / Besiktas1.88 / 1.33
Both teams to score (yes / no)62.7% / 37.3%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 83.4%
Over 2.5 goals 62.1%
Over 3.5 goals 39.8%
First half
First-half result (Hoffenheim / draw / Besiktas)38.2% / 38.2% / 23.5%
A goal in the first half75.8%
Two or more in the first half42.8%
Half-time then full-time
Hoffenheim lead at half-time then Hoffenheim win31.3%
Level at half-time then Hoffenheim win15.8%
Besiktas lead at half-time then Besiktas win15.5%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Hoffenheim's side
Hoffenheim −2.020.7%
Hoffenheim −1.7524.5%
Hoffenheim −1.528.4%
Hoffenheim −1.2533.7%
Hoffenheim −1.039.1%
Hoffenheim −0.7544.5%
Hoffenheim −0.549.9%
Hoffenheim −0.2555.7%
Hoffenheim draw no bet (0.0)61.6%
Hoffenheim +0.2567.5%
Hoffenheim +0.573.3%
Hoffenheim +0.7577.1%
Hoffenheim +1.080.9%
Hoffenheim +1.588.4%
Hoffenheim +2.092.2%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Hoffenheim win2.00
Draw4.27
Besiktas win3.75
Over 2.51.61
Under 2.52.64
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Hoffenheim wins by more than 1 goals28%
Besiktas wins by more than 1 goals12%