Outcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Ferencvaros
49%
Draw
25%
Plzen
26%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Ferencvaros, negative favours Plzen) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Ferencvaros - Plzen)+0.52
Expected total goals2.96
Expected goals Ferencvaros / Plzen1.74 / 1.22
Both teams to score (yes / no)59.0% / 41.0%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 80.3%
Over 2.5 goals 56.9%
Over 3.5 goals 34.5%
First half
First-half result (Ferencvaros / draw / Plzen)36.8% / 40.6% / 22.6%
A goal in the first half72.9%
Two or more in the first half39.3%
Half-time then full-time
Ferencvaros lead at half-time then Ferencvaros win30.2%
Level at half-time then Ferencvaros win16.2%
Plzen lead at half-time then Plzen win15.1%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Ferencvaros's side
Ferencvaros −2.019.4%
Ferencvaros −1.7523.1%
Ferencvaros −1.526.9%
Ferencvaros −1.2532.4%
Ferencvaros −1.037.8%
Ferencvaros −0.7543.3%
Ferencvaros −0.548.7%
Ferencvaros −0.2555.0%
Ferencvaros draw no bet (0.0)61.3%
Ferencvaros +0.2567.6%
Ferencvaros +0.573.9%
Ferencvaros +0.7577.6%
Ferencvaros +1.081.4%
Ferencvaros +1.589.0%
Ferencvaros +2.092.7%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Ferencvaros win2.05
Draw3.98
Plzen win3.83
Over 2.51.76
Under 2.52.32
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Ferencvaros wins by more than 1 goals27%
Plzen wins by more than 1 goals11%
Probability trajectory
Ferencvaros vs Plzen injury report and team news
Ferencvaros- M. BeroOut · Injury
- B. OtvosOut · Knee Injury
- I. PappoeOut · Knee Injury
Plzen- V. JemelkaOut · Knee Injury
- J. PaluskaOut · Surgery
Ferencvaros vs Plzen team form
FerencvarosDDWWD| 10/10/2026 | Debreceni VSC (home) | 1–1 |
| 20/09/2026 | Nyiregyhaza (away) | 1–1 |
| 17/09/2026 | Celtic (away) | 3–1 |
| 12/09/2026 | DEAC (away) | 7–0 |
| 06/09/2026 | Ujpest (home) | 2–2 |
PlzenWLLLD| 10/10/2026 | Mlada Boleslav (home) | 3–0 |
| 20/09/2026 | Slavia Praha (away) | 1–2 |
| 17/09/2026 | Union St. Gilloise (home) | 0–3 |
| 13/09/2026 | Sigma Olomouc (home) | 2–3 |
| 09/09/2026 | Hradec Kralove (away) | 0–0 |
Ferencvaros vs Plzen head to head (H2H)
Head to head record, last 5 meetings: Ferencvaros won 1, drew 2, lost 2. Ferencvaros scored 3 and conceded 7 goals.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2025 | Ferencvarosi TC | 1–1 | Plzen |
| 20/02/2025 | Plzen | 3–0 | Ferencvarosi TC |
| 13/02/2025 | Ferencvarosi TC | 1–0 | Plzen |
| 25/01/2024 | Ferencvarosi TC | 1–3 | Plzen |
| 16/01/2023 | Plzen | 0–0 | Ferencvarosi TC |
Match information
- Referee
- Damian Sylwestrzak
- Venue
- Groupama Arena, Budapest
- Round
- 2