UEFA Europa League

Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht prediction

02:00, 16/10
GMT+7
Kicking off soon

Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Dinamo Zagreb
47%
Draw
28%
Anderlecht
25%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Dinamo Zagreb, negative favours Anderlecht) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Dinamo Zagreb - Anderlecht)+0.44
Expected total goals2.35
Expected goals Dinamo Zagreb / Anderlecht1.39 / 0.95
Both teams to score (yes / no)46.5% / 53.5%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 68.3%
Over 2.5 goals 41.6%
Over 3.5 goals 21.0%
First half
First-half result (Dinamo Zagreb / draw / Anderlecht)33.9% / 45.4% / 20.7%
A goal in the first half64.9%
Two or more in the first half28.8%
Half-time then full-time
Dinamo Zagreb lead at half-time then Dinamo Zagreb win28.0%
Level at half-time then draw18.3%
Level at half-time then Dinamo Zagreb win16.9%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Dinamo Zagreb's side
Dinamo Zagreb −2.015.7%
Dinamo Zagreb −1.7519.2%
Dinamo Zagreb −1.522.8%
Dinamo Zagreb −1.2528.8%
Dinamo Zagreb −1.034.8%
Dinamo Zagreb −0.7540.8%
Dinamo Zagreb −0.546.8%
Dinamo Zagreb −0.2553.8%
Dinamo Zagreb draw no bet (0.0)60.8%
Dinamo Zagreb +0.2567.8%
Dinamo Zagreb +0.574.8%
Dinamo Zagreb +0.7578.8%
Dinamo Zagreb +1.082.9%
Dinamo Zagreb +1.591.0%
Dinamo Zagreb +2.094.3%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Dinamo Zagreb win2.14
Draw3.57
Anderlecht win3.96
Over 2.52.40
Under 2.51.71

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Dinamo Zagreb wins by more than 1 goals23%
Anderlecht wins by more than 1 goals9%

Probability trajectory