Outcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Brest
51%
Draw
27%
Angers
23%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Brest, negative favours Angers) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Brest - Angers)+0.63
Expected total goals2.92
Expected goals Brest / Angers1.77 / 1.14
Both teams to score (yes / no)58.2% / 41.8%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 80.4%
Over 2.5 goals 55.8%
Over 3.5 goals 33.4%
First half
First-half result (Brest / draw / Angers)37.5% / 42.3% / 20.2%
A goal in the first half71.5%
Two or more in the first half39.4%
Half-time then full-time
Brest lead at half-time then Brest win31.7%
Level at half-time then Brest win17.3%
Level at half-time then draw16.1%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Brest's side
Brest −2.020.9%
Brest −1.7524.9%
Brest −1.528.9%
Brest −1.2534.3%
Brest −1.039.7%
Brest −0.7545.1%
Brest −0.550.5%
Brest −0.2557.2%
Brest draw no bet (0.0)63.8%
Brest +0.2570.4%
Brest +0.577.1%
Brest +0.7580.4%
Brest +1.083.8%
Brest +1.590.5%
Brest +2.093.8%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Brest win1.98
Draw3.77
Angers win4.36
Over 2.51.79
Under 2.52.26
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Brest wins by more than 1 goals29%
Angers wins by more than 1 goals10%
Corners
Expected total corners9.7
6.5+ corners in the match51%