Spanish Segunda Division

Burgos vs Sociedad B prediction

Burgos

2 – 2

Full-time

Sociedad B

Match summary

Burgos vs Sociedad B (Spanish Segunda Division), 01/09/2026, finished 2-2: a draw.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Burgos

48%

Draw

31%

Sociedad B

22%

Actual result: Burgos 2 – 2 Sociedad B · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 31%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Burgos, negative favours Sociedad B) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Burgos - Sociedad B)+0.53

Expected total goals2.26

Expected goals Burgos / Sociedad B1.39 / 0.87

Both teams to score (yes / no)45.2% / 54.8%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 67.6%

Over 2.5 goals 39.3%

Over 3.5 goals 19.3%

First half

First-half result (Burgos / draw / Sociedad B)34.0% / 47.8% / 18.1%

A goal in the first half62.7%

Two or more in the first half28.2%

Half-time then full-time

Burgos lead at half-time then Burgos win29.0%

Level at half-time then draw20.6%

Level at half-time then Burgos win18.0%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Burgos's side

Burgos −2.016.6%

Burgos −1.7520.3%

Burgos −1.524.0%

Burgos −1.2529.9%

Burgos −1.035.9%

Burgos −0.7541.8%

Burgos −0.547.7%

Burgos −0.2555.4%

Burgos draw no bet (0.0)63.0%

Burgos +0.2570.7%

Burgos +0.578.3%

Burgos +0.7581.8%

Burgos +1.085.4%

Burgos +1.592.4%

Burgos +2.095.3%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Burgos win2.10

Draw3.27

Sociedad B win4.61

Over 2.52.54

Under 2.51.65

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Burgos wins by more than 1 goals24%

Sociedad B wins by more than 1 goals8%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 01/09 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.