Italian Serie A

Cagliari vs Inter prediction

0 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

Cagliari vs Inter (Serie A), 31/08/2026, finished 0-1: Inter won. Before the match Jarvis gave Cagliari 11%, the draw 20% and Inter 68%; the actual result had a 68% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 0-2. The match had 1 goal; Jarvis expected 2.8.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Cagliari

11%

Draw

20%

Inter

68%

Actual result: Cagliari 0 – 1 Inter · Inter winJarvis gave this outcome: 68% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Cagliari, negative favours Inter) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Cagliari - Inter)-1.35

Expected total goals2.76

Expected goals Cagliari / Inter0.70 / 2.06

Both teams to score (yes / no)44.6% / 55.4%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 76.7%

Over 2.5 goals 52.1%

Over 3.5 goals 29.9%

First half

First-half result (Cagliari / draw / Inter)11.9% / 38.9% / 49.3%

A goal in the first half70.7%

Two or more in the first half35.7%

Half-time then full-time

Inter lead at half-time then Inter win45.3%

Level at half-time then Inter win21.1%

Level at half-time then draw13.1%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Cagliari's side

Cagliari −2.01.9%

Cagliari −1.752.5%

Cagliari −1.53.1%

Cagliari −1.255.1%

Cagliari −1.07.1%

Cagliari −0.759.1%

Cagliari −0.511.2%

Cagliari −0.2516.2%

Cagliari draw no bet (0.0)21.3%

Cagliari +0.2526.4%

Cagliari +0.531.5%

Cagliari +0.7537.6%

Cagliari +1.043.8%

Cagliari +1.556.0%

Cagliari +2.066.6%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Cagliari win8.96

Draw4.91

Inter win1.46

Over 2.51.92

Under 2.52.09

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Cagliari wins by more than 1 goals3%

Inter wins by more than 1 goals44%

Corners

Expected total corners9.3

6.5+ corners in the match45%

Cards

Expected total cards2.1

2.5+ cards in the match34%