Italian Serie A

Lecce vs Roma prediction

0 – 4

Full-time

Match summary

Lecce vs Roma (Serie A), 31/08/2026, finished 0-4: Roma won. Before the match Jarvis gave Lecce 11%, the draw 23% and Roma 66%; the actual result had a 66% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 0-2. The match had 4 goals; Jarvis expected 2.4.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Lecce

11%

Draw

23%

Roma

66%

Actual result: Lecce 0 – 4 Roma · Roma winJarvis gave this outcome: 66% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Lecce, negative favours Roma) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Lecce - Roma)-1.20

Expected total goals2.43

Expected goals Lecce / Roma0.61 / 1.81

Both teams to score (yes / no)38.8% / 61.2%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 70.2%

Over 2.5 goals 43.7%

Over 3.5 goals 22.7%

First half

First-half result (Lecce / draw / Roma)11.5% / 42.3% / 46.2%

A goal in the first half66.1%

Two or more in the first half30.1%

Half-time then full-time

Roma lead at half-time then Roma win42.4%

Level at half-time then Roma win21.7%

Level at half-time then draw15.6%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Lecce's side

Lecce −2.01.7%

Lecce −1.752.3%

Lecce −1.52.9%

Lecce −1.255.0%

Lecce −1.07.2%

Lecce −0.759.3%

Lecce −0.511.5%

Lecce −0.2517.1%

Lecce draw no bet (0.0)22.8%

Lecce +0.2528.5%

Lecce +0.534.2%

Lecce +0.7540.7%

Lecce +1.047.3%

Lecce +1.560.4%

Lecce +2.070.8%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Lecce win8.72

Draw4.41

Roma win1.52

Over 2.52.29

Under 2.51.78

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Lecce wins by more than 1 goals3%

Roma wins by more than 1 goals40%

Corners

Expected total corners9.3

6.5+ corners in the match45%

Cards

Expected total cards2.7

2.5+ cards in the match50%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Lecce

vs Udinese (away)Sun 18/10, 17:30 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27
vs JuventusMon 26/10, 00:00 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27

Roma

vs Slovan BratislavaWed 21/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
vs Napoli (away)Sat 24/10, 23:00 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27

Other matches on 31/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Serie A table, latest

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Internazionale	7	+12	19
2	AS Roma	7	+13	17
3	Lazio	6	+7	16
...
12	Torino	6	-2	7
13	Lecce	6	-6	6
14	Bologna	7	-4	5

See the full Serie A table