Spanish La Liga

Deportivo vs Valencia prediction

3 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

Deportivo vs Valencia (La Liga), 31/08/2026, finished 3-1: Deportivo won. Before the match Jarvis gave Deportivo 33%, the draw 35% and Valencia 32%; the actual result had a 33% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 1-1. The match had 4 goals; Jarvis expected 2.2.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Deportivo

33%

Draw

35%

Valencia

32%

Actual result: Deportivo 3 – 1 Valencia · Deportivo winJarvis gave this outcome: 33%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Deportivo, negative favours Valencia) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Deportivo - Valencia)+0.03

Expected total goals2.16

Expected goals Deportivo / Valencia1.09 / 1.06

Both teams to score (yes / no)46.2% / 53.8%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 66.1%

Over 2.5 goals 36.5%

Over 3.5 goals 17.2%

First half

First-half result (Deportivo / draw / Valencia)25.1% / 50.9% / 24.0%

A goal in the first half60.3%

Two or more in the first half27.1%

Half-time then full-time

Level at half-time then draw23.7%

Deportivo lead at half-time then Deportivo win19.7%

Valencia lead at half-time then Valencia win18.6%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Deportivo's side

Deportivo −2.09.5%

Deportivo −1.7512.0%

Deportivo −1.514.5%

Deportivo −1.2519.2%

Deportivo −1.024.0%

Deportivo −0.7528.7%

Deportivo −0.533.5%

Deportivo −0.2542.2%

Deportivo draw no bet (0.0)50.9%

Deportivo +0.2559.6%

Deportivo +0.568.3%

Deportivo +0.7572.9%

Deportivo +1.077.4%

Deportivo +1.586.6%

Deportivo +2.091.3%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Deportivo win2.99

Draw2.87

Valencia win3.15

Over 2.52.74

Under 2.51.58

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Deportivo wins by more than 1 goals15%

Valencia wins by more than 1 goals13%

Corners

Expected total corners9.1

6.5+ corners in the match56%

Cards

Expected total cards3.7

2.5+ cards in the match51%