Spanish La Liga

Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao prediction

0 – 2

Full-time

Match summary

Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao (La Liga), 31/08/2026, finished 0-2: Athletic Bilbao won. Before the match Jarvis gave Celta Vigo 33%, the draw 32% and Athletic Bilbao 34%; the actual result had a 34% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 1-2. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 2.2.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Celta Vigo

33%

Draw

32%

Athletic Bilbao

34%

Actual result: Celta Vigo 0 – 2 Athletic Bilbao · Athletic Bilbao winJarvis gave this outcome: 34% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Celta Vigo, negative favours Athletic Bilbao) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Celta Vigo - Athletic Bilbao)-0.02

Expected total goals2.22

Expected goals Celta Vigo / Athletic Bilbao1.10 / 1.12

Both teams to score (yes / no)46.7% / 53.3%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 66.8%

Over 2.5 goals 38.4%

Over 3.5 goals 18.5%

First half

First-half result (Celta Vigo / draw / Athletic Bilbao)25.2% / 48.8% / 26.0%

A goal in the first half62.1%

Two or more in the first half27.6%

Half-time then full-time

Level at half-time then draw21.6%

Athletic Bilbao lead at half-time then Athletic Bilbao win20.1%

Celta Vigo lead at half-time then Celta Vigo win19.3%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Celta Vigo's side

Celta Vigo −2.09.1%

Celta Vigo −1.7511.6%

Celta Vigo −1.514.0%

Celta Vigo −1.2518.8%

Celta Vigo −1.023.7%

Celta Vigo −0.7528.5%

Celta Vigo −0.533.3%

Celta Vigo −0.2541.4%

Celta Vigo draw no bet (0.0)49.4%

Celta Vigo +0.2557.5%

Celta Vigo +0.565.5%

Celta Vigo +0.7570.4%

Celta Vigo +1.075.4%

Celta Vigo +1.585.3%

Celta Vigo +2.090.3%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Celta Vigo win3.00

Draw3.11

Athletic Bilbao win2.90

Over 2.52.61

Under 2.51.62

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Celta Vigo wins by more than 1 goals14%

Athletic Bilbao wins by more than 1 goals15%

Corners

Expected total corners8.8

6.5+ corners in the match51%

Cards

Expected total cards3.8

2.5+ cards in the match53%