Outcome probability
Updating live as the match unfolds
LiveOffline
Cagliari
14%
Draw
26%
Juventus
60%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Cagliari, negative favours Juventus) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Cagliari - Juventus)-0.97
Expected total goals2.41
Expected goals Cagliari / Juventus0.72 / 1.69
Both teams to score (yes / no)43.0% / 57.0%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 70.6%
Over 2.5 goals 43.3%
Over 3.5 goals 22.3%
First half
First-half result (Cagliari / draw / Juventus)13.5% / 44.6% / 41.9%
A goal in the first half65.2%
Two or more in the first half30.5%
Half-time then full-time
Juventus lead at half-time then Juventus win37.7%
Level at half-time then Juventus win20.7%
Level at half-time then draw17.6%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Cagliari's side
Cagliari −2.02.6%
Cagliari −1.753.4%
Cagliari −1.54.3%
Cagliari −1.256.8%
Cagliari −1.09.3%
Cagliari −0.7511.8%
Cagliari −0.514.3%
Cagliari −0.2520.8%
Cagliari draw no bet (0.0)27.4%
Cagliari +0.2533.9%
Cagliari +0.540.5%
Cagliari +0.7546.8%
Cagliari +1.053.1%
Cagliari +1.565.7%
Cagliari +2.075.2%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Cagliari win7.01
Draw3.82
Juventus win1.68
Over 2.52.31
Under 2.51.76
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Cagliari wins by more than 1 goals4%
Juventus wins by more than 1 goals34%
Corners
Expected total corners9.3
6.5+ corners in the match45%
Cards
Expected total cards2.4
2.5+ cards in the match44%