Outcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Lazio
57%
Draw
25%
AC Monza
18%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Lazio, negative favours AC Monza) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Lazio - AC Monza)+0.86
Expected total goals2.67
Expected goals Lazio / AC Monza1.77 / 0.91
Both teams to score (yes / no)50.5% / 49.5%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 75.7%
Over 2.5 goals 50.0%
Over 3.5 goals 28.0%
First half
First-half result (Lazio / draw / AC Monza)41.0% / 42.5% / 16.6%
A goal in the first half69.0%
Two or more in the first half34.8%
Half-time then full-time
Lazio lead at half-time then Lazio win35.8%
Level at half-time then Lazio win19.1%
Level at half-time then draw16.0%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Lazio's side
Lazio −2.023.8%
Lazio −1.7528.3%
Lazio −1.532.7%
Lazio −1.2538.7%
Lazio −1.044.7%
Lazio −0.7550.7%
Lazio −0.556.6%
Lazio −0.2563.0%
Lazio draw no bet (0.0)69.3%
Lazio +0.2575.7%
Lazio +0.582.0%
Lazio +0.7584.9%
Lazio +1.087.9%
Lazio +1.593.7%
Lazio +2.096.1%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Lazio win1.77
Draw3.94
AC Monza win5.56
Over 2.52.00
Under 2.52.00
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Lazio wins by more than 1 goals33%
AC Monza wins by more than 1 goals6%
Corners
Expected total corners9.0
6.5+ corners in the match54%
Cards
Expected total cards2.7
2.5+ cards in the match50%