Outcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Hull
26%
Draw
29%
Everton
45%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Hull, negative favours Everton) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Hull - Everton)-0.40
Expected total goals2.41
Expected goals Hull / Everton1.00 / 1.41
Both teams to score (yes / no)49.0% / 51.0%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 70.6%
Over 2.5 goals 43.2%
Over 3.5 goals 22.3%
First half
First-half result (Hull / draw / Everton)21.0% / 46.1% / 32.9%
A goal in the first half65.2%
Two or more in the first half30.5%
Half-time then full-time
Everton lead at half-time then Everton win27.2%
Level at half-time then draw19.1%
Level at half-time then Everton win16.6%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Hull's side
Hull −2.06.3%
Hull −1.758.0%
Hull −1.59.8%
Hull −1.2513.7%
Hull −1.017.7%
Hull −0.7521.6%
Hull −0.525.6%
Hull −0.2532.9%
Hull draw no bet (0.0)40.3%
Hull +0.2547.6%
Hull +0.555.0%
Hull +0.7560.7%
Hull +1.066.3%
Hull +1.577.7%
Hull +2.084.6%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Hull win3.91
Draw3.40
Everton win2.22
Over 2.52.31
Under 2.51.76
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Hull wins by more than 1 goals10%
Everton wins by more than 1 goals22%
Corners
Expected total corners9.8
6.5+ corners in the match51%