Spanish La Liga

Real Sociedad vs Deportivo prediction

Real Sociedad

21:15, 11/10

Kicking off soon

Deportivo

Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling

Offline

Real Sociedad

61%

Draw

24%

Deportivo

15%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Real Sociedad, negative favours Deportivo) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Real Sociedad - Deportivo)+1.02

Expected total goals2.63

Expected goals Real Sociedad / Deportivo1.83 / 0.80

Both teams to score (yes / no)47.0% / 53.0%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 74.5%

Over 2.5 goals 48.9%

Over 3.5 goals 27.0%

First half

First-half result (Real Sociedad / draw / Deportivo)43.7% / 41.7% / 14.7%

A goal in the first half68.8%

Two or more in the first half33.8%

Half-time then full-time

Real Sociedad lead at half-time then Real Sociedad win39.0%

Level at half-time then Real Sociedad win20.0%

Level at half-time then draw15.3%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Real Sociedad's side

Real Sociedad −2.026.6%

Real Sociedad −1.7531.4%

Real Sociedad −1.536.2%

Real Sociedad −1.2542.4%

Real Sociedad −1.048.5%

Real Sociedad −0.7554.7%

Real Sociedad −0.560.9%

Real Sociedad −0.2566.9%

Real Sociedad draw no bet (0.0)72.8%

Real Sociedad +0.2578.8%

Real Sociedad +0.584.7%

Real Sociedad +0.7587.4%

Real Sociedad +1.090.0%

Real Sociedad +1.595.2%

Real Sociedad +2.097.1%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Real Sociedad win1.64

Draw4.20

Deportivo win6.55

Over 2.52.05

Under 2.51.96

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Real Sociedad wins by more than 1 goals36%

Deportivo wins by more than 1 goals5%

Corners

Expected total corners10.0

6.5+ corners in the match54%

Outcome probability

Probability trajectory