English Premier League
Crystal Palace vs Nottm Forest prediction
20:00, 11/10
Kicking off soonOutcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Crystal Palace
33%
Draw
30%
Nottm Forest
36%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Crystal Palace, negative favours Nottm Forest) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Crystal Palace - Nottm Forest)-0.06
Expected total goals2.56
Expected goals Crystal Palace / Nottm Forest1.25 / 1.31
Both teams to score (yes / no)54.0% / 46.0%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 74.4%
Over 2.5 goals 47.2%
Over 3.5 goals 25.6%
First half
First-half result (Crystal Palace / draw / Nottm Forest)26.2% / 46.0% / 27.9%
A goal in the first half66.9%
Two or more in the first half33.6%
Half-time then full-time
Nottm Forest lead at half-time then Nottm Forest win21.6%
Crystal Palace lead at half-time then Crystal Palace win19.8%
Level at half-time then draw19.1%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Crystal Palace's side
Crystal Palace −2.010.2%
Crystal Palace −1.7512.7%
Crystal Palace −1.515.3%
Crystal Palace −1.2519.8%
Crystal Palace −1.024.4%
Crystal Palace −0.7528.9%
Crystal Palace −0.533.5%
Crystal Palace −0.2541.1%
Crystal Palace draw no bet (0.0)48.6%
Crystal Palace +0.2556.2%
Crystal Palace +0.563.7%
Crystal Palace +0.7568.5%
Crystal Palace +1.073.3%
Crystal Palace +1.582.9%
Crystal Palace +2.088.5%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Crystal Palace win2.99
Draw3.31
Nottm Forest win2.76
Over 2.52.12
Under 2.51.90
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Crystal Palace wins by more than 1 goals15%
Nottm Forest wins by more than 1 goals17%
Corners
Expected total corners9.6
6.5+ corners in the match49%