UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers

CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Spartak Trnava prediction

CSKA 1948 Sofia

0 – 0

Full-time

Match summary

CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Spartak Trnava (UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers), 29/07/2026, finished 0-0: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave CSKA 1948 Sofia 52%, the draw 27% and Spartak Trnava 21%; the actual result had a 27% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 0 goals; Jarvis expected 2.7.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

CSKA 1948 Sofia

52%

Draw

27%

Spartak Trnava

21%

Actual result: CSKA 1948 Sofia 0 – 0 Spartak Trnava · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 27%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours CSKA 1948 Sofia, negative favours Spartak Trnava) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (CSKA 1948 Sofia - Spartak Trnava)+0.67

Expected total goals2.67

Expected goals CSKA 1948 Sofia / Spartak Trnava1.67 / 1.00

Both teams to score (yes / no)52.6% / 47.4%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 75.9%

Over 2.5 goals 49.9%

Over 3.5 goals 27.9%

First half

First-half result (CSKA 1948 Sofia / draw / Spartak Trnava)37.8% / 43.4% / 18.8%

A goal in the first half68.8%

Two or more in the first half34.9%

Half-time then full-time

CSKA 1948 Sofia lead at half-time then CSKA 1948 Sofia win32.3%

Level at half-time then CSKA 1948 Sofia win18.0%

Level at half-time then draw16.8%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from CSKA 1948 Sofia's side

CSKA 1948 Sofia −2.020.6%

CSKA 1948 Sofia −1.7524.7%

CSKA 1948 Sofia −1.528.7%

CSKA 1948 Sofia −1.2534.5%

CSKA 1948 Sofia −1.040.3%

CSKA 1948 Sofia −0.7546.0%

CSKA 1948 Sofia −0.551.8%

CSKA 1948 Sofia −0.2558.5%

CSKA 1948 Sofia draw no bet (0.0)65.2%

CSKA 1948 Sofia +0.2571.9%

CSKA 1948 Sofia +0.578.6%

CSKA 1948 Sofia +0.7581.9%

CSKA 1948 Sofia +1.085.3%

CSKA 1948 Sofia +1.591.9%

CSKA 1948 Sofia +2.094.9%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

CSKA 1948 Sofia win1.93

Draw3.73

Spartak Trnava win4.68

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.52.00

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

CSKA 1948 Sofia wins by more than 1 goals29%

Spartak Trnava wins by more than 1 goals8%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 29/07 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.