UEFA Europa League Qualifiers

CSKA Sofia vs OFI prediction

0 – 2
Full-time
OFI

Match summary

CSKA Sofia vs OFI (Europa League), 28/08/2026, finished 0-2: OFI won. Before the match Jarvis gave CSKA Sofia 63%, the draw 22% and OFI 15%; the actual result had a 15% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 2.7.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
CSKA Sofia
63%
Draw
22%
OFI
15%
Actual result: CSKA Sofia 0 – 2 OFI · OFI winJarvis gave this outcome: 15%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours CSKA Sofia, negative favours OFI) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (CSKA Sofia - OFI)+1.11
Expected total goals2.72
Expected goals CSKA Sofia / OFI1.91 / 0.81
Both teams to score (yes / no)47.2% / 52.8%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 75.6%
Over 2.5 goals 51.1%
Over 3.5 goals 29.0%
First half
First-half result (CSKA Sofia / draw / OFI)45.7% / 39.5% / 14.8%
A goal in the first half70.5%
Two or more in the first half34.7%
Half-time then full-time
CSKA Sofia lead at half-time then CSKA Sofia win40.9%
Level at half-time then CSKA Sofia win19.9%
Level at half-time then draw13.6%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from CSKA Sofia's side
CSKA Sofia −2.028.5%
CSKA Sofia −1.7533.4%
CSKA Sofia −1.538.3%
CSKA Sofia −1.2544.6%
CSKA Sofia −1.050.9%
CSKA Sofia −0.7557.1%
CSKA Sofia −0.563.4%
CSKA Sofia −0.2568.8%
CSKA Sofia draw no bet (0.0)74.2%
CSKA Sofia +0.2579.6%
CSKA Sofia +0.585.0%
CSKA Sofia +0.7587.6%
CSKA Sofia +1.090.2%
CSKA Sofia +1.595.5%
CSKA Sofia +2.097.2%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
CSKA Sofia win1.58
Draw4.63
OFI win6.66
Over 2.51.96
Under 2.52.05

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
CSKA Sofia wins by more than 1 goals38%
OFI wins by more than 1 goals4%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs Bayer LeverkusenThu 22/10, 23:45 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
  • vs Hapoel Be'er (away)Fri 06/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Other matches on 28/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

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