Match summary
Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao (La Liga), 28/08/2026, finished 2-0: Barcelona won. Before the match Jarvis gave Barcelona 80%, the draw 13% and Athletic Bilbao 8%; the actual result had a 80% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 3-0. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 3.6. Last 10 meetings: Barcelona won 9, 1 drawn, Athletic Bilbao won 0.
Outcome probability
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Probability trajectory · full match
Next fixtures of both teams
- vs Paris Saint-Germain (away)Wed 21/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
- vs Real MadridMon 26/10, 03:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
- vs Levante (away)Thu 22/10, 01:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
- vs GetafeSun 25/10, 20:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
Other matches on 28/08 (GMT+7)
- Celta Vigo vs Osasuna01:30 · La Liga1–2
- CSKA Sofia vs OFI01:00 · Europa League0–2
- AGF vs Benfica01:00 · Europa League1–3
- Thun vs Lech Poznan01:00 · Europa League2–2
- Ferencvaros vs Trabzonspor01:30 · Europa League4–0
The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.
La Liga table, latest
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 9 | +30 | 27 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 9 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 9 | +2 | 19 |
| ... | ||||
| 8 | Deportivo | 9 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | Athletic Club | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 10 | Villarreal | 9 | 0 | 9 |