Spanish La Liga

Celta Vigo vs Osasuna prediction

1 – 2

Full-time

Match summary

Celta Vigo vs Osasuna (La Liga), 28/08/2026, finished 1-2: Osasuna won. Before the match Jarvis gave Celta Vigo 48%, the draw 30% and Osasuna 22%; the actual result had a 22% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 1-0. The match had 3 goals; Jarvis expected 2.2.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Celta Vigo

48%

Draw

30%

Osasuna

22%

Actual result: Celta Vigo 1 – 2 Osasuna · Osasuna winJarvis gave this outcome: 22%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Celta Vigo, negative favours Osasuna) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Celta Vigo - Osasuna)+0.54

Expected total goals2.20

Expected goals Celta Vigo / Osasuna1.37 / 0.83

Both teams to score (yes / no)43.2% / 56.8%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 65.7%

Over 2.5 goals 37.7%

Over 3.5 goals 18.0%

First half

First-half result (Celta Vigo / draw / Osasuna)34.2% / 47.8% / 18.0%

A goal in the first half62.0%

Two or more in the first half26.8%

Half-time then full-time

Celta Vigo lead at half-time then Celta Vigo win29.1%

Level at half-time then draw20.5%

Level at half-time then Celta Vigo win18.1%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Celta Vigo's side

Celta Vigo −2.016.4%

Celta Vigo −1.7520.1%

Celta Vigo −1.523.8%

Celta Vigo −1.2529.9%

Celta Vigo −1.036.0%

Celta Vigo −0.7542.1%

Celta Vigo −0.548.2%

Celta Vigo −0.2555.8%

Celta Vigo draw no bet (0.0)63.3%

Celta Vigo +0.2570.8%

Celta Vigo +0.578.4%

Celta Vigo +0.7582.0%

Celta Vigo +1.085.6%

Celta Vigo +1.592.8%

Celta Vigo +2.095.5%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Celta Vigo win2.07

Draw3.32

Osasuna win4.62

Over 2.52.65

Under 2.51.60

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Celta Vigo wins by more than 1 goals24%

Osasuna wins by more than 1 goals7%

Corners

Expected total corners8.8

6.5+ corners in the match51%

Cards

Expected total cards3.8

2.5+ cards in the match52%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Celta Vigo

vs AlavesSun 18/10, 21:15 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27Jarvis win / draw / loss: 44% / 31% / 25%
vs Celtic (away)Fri 23/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Osasuna

vs Racing SantanderSun 18/10, 19:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27Jarvis win / draw / loss: 48% / 26% / 26%
vs Sevilla (away)Tue 27/10, 03:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27

Other matches on 28/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

La Liga table, latest

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	8	+27	24
2	Atletico Madrid	8	+10	19
3	Real Betis	8	+5	19
...
8	Deportivo	9	+1	11
9	Celta Vigo	8	+2	8
10	Athletic Club	6	+1	8
...
15	Racing Santander	8	-10	8
16	Osasuna	8	-10	8
17	Levante	8	-4	7

See the full La Liga table