UEFA Europa League Qualifiers

Ferencvaros vs Trabzonspor prediction

4 – 0

Full-time

Match summary

Ferencvaros vs Trabzonspor (Europa League), 28/08/2026, finished 4-0: Ferencvaros won. Before the match Jarvis gave Ferencvaros 30%, the draw 27% and Trabzonspor 43%; the actual result had a 30% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 1-2. The match had 4 goals; Jarvis expected 2.8.

Next for Ferencvaros: Torreense (Thu 22/10, 23:45 GMT+7)

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Ferencvaros

30%

Draw

27%

Trabzonspor

43%

Actual result: Ferencvaros 4 – 0 Trabzonspor · Ferencvaros winJarvis gave this outcome: 30%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Ferencvaros, negative favours Trabzonspor) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Ferencvaros - Trabzonspor)-0.29

Expected total goals2.76

Expected goals Ferencvaros / Trabzonspor1.24 / 1.52

Both teams to score (yes / no)56.2% / 43.8%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 76.9%

Over 2.5 goals 52.1%

Over 3.5 goals 29.9%

First half

First-half result (Ferencvaros / draw / Trabzonspor)24.8% / 42.4% / 32.8%

A goal in the first half70.4%

Two or more in the first half35.9%

Half-time then full-time

Trabzonspor lead at half-time then Trabzonspor win26.1%

Ferencvaros lead at half-time then Ferencvaros win17.5%

Level at half-time then draw16.0%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Ferencvaros's side

Ferencvaros −2.08.6%

Ferencvaros −1.7510.8%

Ferencvaros −1.513.0%

Ferencvaros −1.2517.3%

Ferencvaros −1.021.6%

Ferencvaros −0.7525.9%

Ferencvaros −0.530.2%

Ferencvaros −0.2536.8%

Ferencvaros draw no bet (0.0)43.5%

Ferencvaros +0.2550.2%

Ferencvaros +0.556.8%

Ferencvaros +0.7562.2%

Ferencvaros +1.067.5%

Ferencvaros +1.578.2%

Ferencvaros +2.084.8%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Ferencvaros win3.32

Draw3.75

Trabzonspor win2.32

Over 2.51.92

Under 2.52.09

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Ferencvaros wins by more than 1 goals13%

Trabzonspor wins by more than 1 goals22%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Ferencvaros

vs TorreenseThu 22/10, 23:45 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
vs AC Milan (away)Fri 06/11, 00:45 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Other matches on 28/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Europa League table, latest

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Juventus	2	+6	6
2	Bayer Leverkusen	2	+6	6
3	Benfica	2	+5	6
...
6	Omonia Nicosia	2	+4	6
7	Ferencvaros	2	+3	6
8	Lyon	2	+2	6

See the full Europa League table