UEFA Champions League Qualifiers

Dinamo Zagreb vs FK Kauno Zalgiris prediction

5 – 0
Full-time

Match summary

Dinamo Zagreb vs FK Kauno Zalgiris (Champions League), 05/08/2026, finished 5-0: Dinamo Zagreb won. Before the match Jarvis gave Dinamo Zagreb 84%, the draw 11% and FK Kauno Zalgiris 5%; the actual result had a 84% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 5 goals; Jarvis expected 3.0.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Dinamo Zagreb
84%
Draw
11%
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5%
Actual result: Dinamo Zagreb 5 – 0 FK Kauno Zalgiris · Dinamo Zagreb winJarvis gave this outcome: 84% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Dinamo Zagreb, negative favours FK Kauno Zalgiris) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Dinamo Zagreb - FK Kauno Zalgiris)+2.16
Expected total goals3.03
Expected goals Dinamo Zagreb / FK Kauno Zalgiris2.59 / 0.44
Both teams to score (yes / no)32.2% / 67.8%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 79.9%
Over 2.5 goals 58.4%
Over 3.5 goals 36.0%
First half
First-half result (Dinamo Zagreb / draw / FK Kauno Zalgiris)62.7% / 30.5% / 6.9%
A goal in the first half75.1%
Two or more in the first half38.9%
Half-time then full-time
Dinamo Zagreb lead at half-time then Dinamo Zagreb win60.2%
Level at half-time then Dinamo Zagreb win20.9%
Level at half-time then draw7.5%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Dinamo Zagreb's side
Dinamo Zagreb −2.050.8%
Dinamo Zagreb −1.7556.7%
Dinamo Zagreb −1.562.5%
Dinamo Zagreb −1.2567.9%
Dinamo Zagreb −1.073.4%
Dinamo Zagreb −0.7578.8%
Dinamo Zagreb −0.584.2%
Dinamo Zagreb −0.2586.9%
Dinamo Zagreb draw no bet (0.0)89.6%
Dinamo Zagreb +0.2592.3%
Dinamo Zagreb +0.595.1%
Dinamo Zagreb +0.7596.1%
Dinamo Zagreb +1.097.1%
Dinamo Zagreb +1.599.2%
Dinamo Zagreb +2.099.6%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Dinamo Zagreb win1.19
Draw9.23
FK Kauno Zalgiris win20.21
Over 2.51.71
Under 2.52.40

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Dinamo Zagreb wins by more than 1 goals62%
FK Kauno Zalgiris wins by more than 1 goals1%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs NEC NijmegenThu 22/10, 23:45 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
  • vs Sunderland (away)Fri 06/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Other matches on 05/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.