UEFA Champions League Qualifiers

Olympiakos vs NEC Nijmegen prediction

0 – 0

Full-time

Match summary

Olympiakos vs NEC Nijmegen (Champions League), 05/08/2026, finished 0-0: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave Olympiakos 64%, the draw 21% and NEC Nijmegen 14%; the actual result had a 21% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 0 goals; Jarvis expected 2.9.

Next for NEC Nijmegen: Dinamo Zagreb (Thu 22/10, 23:45 GMT+7)

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Olympiakos

64%

Draw

21%

NEC Nijmegen

14%

Actual result: Olympiakos 0 – 0 NEC Nijmegen · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 21%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Olympiakos, negative favours NEC Nijmegen) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Olympiakos - NEC Nijmegen)+1.19

Expected total goals2.94

Expected goals Olympiakos / NEC Nijmegen2.06 / 0.88

Both teams to score (yes / no)51.5% / 48.5%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 79.7%

Over 2.5 goals 56.3%

Over 3.5 goals 34.0%

First half

First-half result (Olympiakos / draw / NEC Nijmegen)46.9% / 38.4% / 14.7%

A goal in the first half72.8%

Two or more in the first half38.7%

Half-time then full-time

Olympiakos lead at half-time then Olympiakos win42.1%

Level at half-time then Olympiakos win19.8%

Level at half-time then draw12.9%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Olympiakos's side

Olympiakos −2.030.7%

Olympiakos −1.7535.7%

Olympiakos −1.540.6%

Olympiakos −1.2546.6%

Olympiakos −1.052.5%

Olympiakos −0.7558.4%

Olympiakos −0.564.3%

Olympiakos −0.2569.6%

Olympiakos draw no bet (0.0)74.9%

Olympiakos +0.2580.2%

Olympiakos +0.585.5%

Olympiakos +0.7588.0%

Olympiakos +1.090.4%

Olympiakos +1.595.3%

Olympiakos +2.097.1%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Olympiakos win1.55

Draw4.71

NEC Nijmegen win6.92

Over 2.51.77

Under 2.52.29

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Olympiakos wins by more than 1 goals41%

NEC Nijmegen wins by more than 1 goals5%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

NEC Nijmegen

vs Dinamo Zagreb (away)Thu 22/10, 23:45 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
vs Omonia NicosiaFri 06/11, 00:45 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Other matches on 05/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.