UEFA Champions League Qualifiers

FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction

1 – 2
Full-time

Match summary

FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb (Champions League), 12/08/2026, finished 1-2: Dinamo Zagreb won.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
FK Kauno Zalgiris
14%
Draw
23%
Dinamo Zagreb
63%
Actual result: FK Kauno Zalgiris 1 – 2 Dinamo Zagreb · Dinamo Zagreb winJarvis gave this outcome: 63% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours FK Kauno Zalgiris, negative favours Dinamo Zagreb) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (FK Kauno Zalgiris - Dinamo Zagreb)-1.13
Expected total goals2.77
Expected goals FK Kauno Zalgiris / Dinamo Zagreb0.82 / 1.95
Both teams to score (yes / no)48.9% / 51.1%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 77.2%
Over 2.5 goals 52.4%
Over 3.5 goals 30.2%
First half
First-half result (FK Kauno Zalgiris / draw / Dinamo Zagreb)14.3% / 40.2% / 45.5%
A goal in the first half70.6%
Two or more in the first half36.2%
Half-time then full-time
Dinamo Zagreb lead at half-time then Dinamo Zagreb win40.9%
Level at half-time then Dinamo Zagreb win20.1%
Level at half-time then draw14.2%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from FK Kauno Zalgiris's side
FK Kauno Zalgiris −2.02.8%
FK Kauno Zalgiris −1.753.7%
FK Kauno Zalgiris −1.54.5%
FK Kauno Zalgiris −1.257.0%
FK Kauno Zalgiris −1.09.4%
FK Kauno Zalgiris −0.7511.9%
FK Kauno Zalgiris −0.514.3%
FK Kauno Zalgiris −0.2520.0%
FK Kauno Zalgiris draw no bet (0.0)25.6%
FK Kauno Zalgiris +0.2531.3%
FK Kauno Zalgiris +0.536.9%
FK Kauno Zalgiris +0.7543.0%
FK Kauno Zalgiris +1.049.0%
FK Kauno Zalgiris +1.561.1%
FK Kauno Zalgiris +2.070.9%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
FK Kauno Zalgiris win6.97
Draw4.43
Dinamo Zagreb win1.59
Over 2.51.91
Under 2.52.10

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
FK Kauno Zalgiris wins by more than 1 goals5%
Dinamo Zagreb wins by more than 1 goals39%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs NEC NijmegenThu 22/10, 23:45 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
  • vs Sunderland (away)Fri 06/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Other matches on 12/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.