UEFA Champions League Qualifiers

Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva prediction

0 – 2

Full-time

Match summary

Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva (Champions League), 12/08/2026, finished 0-2: Hapoel Beer Sheva won. Before the match Jarvis gave Crvena Zvezda 78%, the draw 14% and Hapoel Beer Sheva 8%; the actual result had a 8% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 3-0. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 3.5.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Crvena Zvezda

78%

Draw

14%

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Actual result: Crvena Zvezda 0 – 2 Hapoel Beer Sheva · Hapoel Beer Sheva winJarvis gave this outcome: 8%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Crvena Zvezda, negative favours Hapoel Beer Sheva) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Crvena Zvezda - Hapoel Beer Sheva)+1.91

Expected total goals3.46

Expected goals Crvena Zvezda / Hapoel Beer Sheva2.68 / 0.77

Both teams to score (yes / no)50.3% / 49.7%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 86.1%

Over 2.5 goals 67.1%

Over 3.5 goals 45.4%

First half

First-half result (Crvena Zvezda / draw / Hapoel Beer Sheva)58.2% / 31.5% / 10.4%

A goal in the first half78.6%

Two or more in the first half46.3%

Half-time then full-time

Crvena Zvezda lead at half-time then Crvena Zvezda win54.6%

Level at half-time then Crvena Zvezda win19.9%

Level at half-time then draw8.3%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Crvena Zvezda's side

Crvena Zvezda −2.046.1%

Crvena Zvezda −1.7551.5%

Crvena Zvezda −1.556.9%

Crvena Zvezda −1.2562.1%

Crvena Zvezda −1.067.2%

Crvena Zvezda −0.7572.4%

Crvena Zvezda −0.577.6%

Crvena Zvezda −0.2581.2%

Crvena Zvezda draw no bet (0.0)84.7%

Crvena Zvezda +0.2588.3%

Crvena Zvezda +0.591.9%

Crvena Zvezda +0.7593.4%

Crvena Zvezda +1.094.8%

Crvena Zvezda +1.597.7%

Crvena Zvezda +2.098.6%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Crvena Zvezda win1.29

Draw6.97

Hapoel Beer Sheva win12.37

Over 2.51.49

Under 2.53.04

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Crvena Zvezda wins by more than 1 goals57%

Hapoel Beer Sheva wins by more than 1 goals2%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 12/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.