UEFA Champions League Qualifiers

NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos prediction

2 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos (Champions League), 12/08/2026, finished 2-1: NEC Nijmegen won. Before the match Jarvis gave NEC Nijmegen 37%, the draw 29% and Olympiakos 34%; the actual result had a 37% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 3 goals; Jarvis expected 2.7.

Next for NEC Nijmegen: Dinamo Zagreb (Thu 22/10, 23:45 GMT+7)

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

NEC Nijmegen

37%

Draw

29%

Olympiakos

34%

Actual result: NEC Nijmegen 2 – 1 Olympiakos · NEC Nijmegen winJarvis gave this outcome: 37% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours NEC Nijmegen, negative favours Olympiakos) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (NEC Nijmegen - Olympiakos)+0.08

Expected total goals2.73

Expected goals NEC Nijmegen / Olympiakos1.41 / 1.33

Both teams to score (yes / no)57.2% / 42.8%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 77.5%

Over 2.5 goals 51.4%

Over 3.5 goals 29.3%

First half

First-half result (NEC Nijmegen / draw / Olympiakos)28.8% / 44.5% / 26.6%

A goal in the first half69.2%

Two or more in the first half36.4%

Half-time then full-time

NEC Nijmegen lead at half-time then NEC Nijmegen win22.3%

Olympiakos lead at half-time then Olympiakos win19.9%

Level at half-time then draw18.0%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from NEC Nijmegen's side

NEC Nijmegen −2.012.5%

NEC Nijmegen −1.7515.4%

NEC Nijmegen −1.518.2%

NEC Nijmegen −1.2523.0%

NEC Nijmegen −1.027.7%

NEC Nijmegen −0.7532.5%

NEC Nijmegen −0.537.2%

NEC Nijmegen −0.2544.5%

NEC Nijmegen draw no bet (0.0)51.8%

NEC Nijmegen +0.2559.1%

NEC Nijmegen +0.566.4%

NEC Nijmegen +0.7570.8%

NEC Nijmegen +1.075.3%

NEC Nijmegen +1.584.2%

NEC Nijmegen +2.089.3%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

NEC Nijmegen win2.68

Draw3.44

Olympiakos win2.97

Over 2.51.94

Under 2.52.06

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

NEC Nijmegen wins by more than 1 goals18%

Olympiakos wins by more than 1 goals16%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

NEC Nijmegen

vs Dinamo Zagreb (away)Thu 22/10, 23:45 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
vs Omonia NicosiaFri 06/11, 00:45 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Other matches on 12/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.