UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers

Getafe vs Partizan Belgrade prediction

3 – 1
Full-time

Match summary

Getafe vs Partizan Belgrade (UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers), 21/08/2026, finished 3-1: Getafe won. Before the match Jarvis gave Getafe 70%, the draw 20% and Partizan Belgrade 9%; the actual result had a 70% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 4 goals; Jarvis expected 2.5.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Getafe
70%
Draw
20%
Partizan Belgrade
9%
Actual result: Getafe 3 – 1 Partizan Belgrade · Getafe winJarvis gave this outcome: 70% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Getafe, negative favours Partizan Belgrade) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Getafe - Partizan Belgrade)+1.37
Expected total goals2.47
Expected goals Getafe / Partizan Belgrade1.92 / 0.55
Both teams to score (yes / no)36.1% / 63.9%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 70.8%
Over 2.5 goals 44.8%
Over 3.5 goals 23.6%
First half
First-half result (Getafe / draw / Partizan Belgrade)49.4% / 40.6% / 10.0%
A goal in the first half66.9%
Two or more in the first half30.6%
Half-time then full-time
Getafe lead at half-time then Getafe win45.9%
Level at half-time then Getafe win22.2%
Level at half-time then draw14.2%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Getafe's side
Getafe −2.032.9%
Getafe −1.7538.4%
Getafe −1.543.9%
Getafe −1.2550.4%
Getafe −1.057.0%
Getafe −0.7563.6%
Getafe −0.570.2%
Getafe −0.2575.3%
Getafe draw no bet (0.0)80.3%
Getafe +0.2585.4%
Getafe +0.590.5%
Getafe +0.7592.3%
Getafe +1.094.2%
Getafe +1.597.9%
Getafe +2.098.8%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Getafe win1.43
Draw4.92
Partizan Belgrade win10.53
Over 2.52.23
Under 2.51.81

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Getafe wins by more than 1 goals44%
Partizan Belgrade wins by more than 1 goals2%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs Rayo VallecanoTue 20/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
  • vs Athletic Club (away)Sun 25/10, 20:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27

Other matches on 21/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.