UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers

Hibernian vs Gent prediction

2 – 3

Full-time

Match summary

Hibernian vs Gent (UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers), 28/08/2026, finished 2-3: Gent won. Before the match Jarvis gave Hibernian 32%, the draw 32% and Gent 36%; the actual result had a 36% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 1-2. The match had 5 goals; Jarvis expected 2.2.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Hibernian

32%

Draw

32%

Gent

36%

Actual result: Hibernian 2 – 3 Gent · Gent winJarvis gave this outcome: 36% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Hibernian, negative favours Gent) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Hibernian - Gent)-0.07

Expected total goals2.22

Expected goals Hibernian / Gent1.07 / 1.14

Both teams to score (yes / no)46.2% / 53.8%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 66.3%

Over 2.5 goals 38.2%

Over 3.5 goals 18.4%

First half

First-half result (Hibernian / draw / Gent)24.7% / 48.5% / 26.8%

A goal in the first half62.2%

Two or more in the first half27.3%

Half-time then full-time

Level at half-time then draw21.2%

Gent lead at half-time then Gent win20.9%

Hibernian lead at half-time then Hibernian win18.7%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Hibernian's side

Hibernian −2.08.6%

Hibernian −1.7510.9%

Hibernian −1.513.3%

Hibernian −1.2518.0%

Hibernian −1.022.8%

Hibernian −0.7527.6%

Hibernian −0.532.4%

Hibernian −0.2540.3%

Hibernian draw no bet (0.0)48.2%

Hibernian +0.2556.2%

Hibernian +0.564.1%

Hibernian +0.7569.2%

Hibernian +1.074.3%

Hibernian +1.584.6%

Hibernian +2.089.8%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Hibernian win3.09

Draw3.16

Gent win2.78

Over 2.52.62

Under 2.51.62

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Hibernian wins by more than 1 goals13%

Gent wins by more than 1 goals15%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 28/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.