UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers

IFK Goteborg vs FCI Tallinn prediction

IFK Goteborg

1 – 2

Full-time

FCI Tallinn

Match summary

IFK Goteborg vs FCI Tallinn (UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers), 22/07/2026, finished 1-2: FCI Tallinn won.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

IFK Goteborg

66%

Draw

21%

FCI Tallinn

14%

Actual result: IFK Goteborg 1 – 2 FCI Tallinn · FCI Tallinn winJarvis gave this outcome: 14%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours IFK Goteborg, negative favours FCI Tallinn) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (IFK Goteborg - FCI Tallinn)+1.29

Expected total goals3.23

Expected goals IFK Goteborg / FCI Tallinn2.26 / 0.97

Both teams to score (yes / no)56.6% / 43.4%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 84.3%

Over 2.5 goals 62.7%

Over 3.5 goals 40.5%

First half

First-half result (IFK Goteborg / draw / FCI Tallinn)48.3% / 37.3% / 14.5%

A goal in the first half75.5%

Two or more in the first half43.9%

Half-time then full-time

IFK Goteborg lead at half-time then IFK Goteborg win43.6%

Level at half-time then IFK Goteborg win19.6%

Level at half-time then draw12.2%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from IFK Goteborg's side

IFK Goteborg −2.033.5%

IFK Goteborg −1.7538.5%

IFK Goteborg −1.543.5%

IFK Goteborg −1.2549.0%

IFK Goteborg −1.054.5%

IFK Goteborg −0.7560.0%

IFK Goteborg −0.565.5%

IFK Goteborg −0.2570.7%

IFK Goteborg draw no bet (0.0)75.8%

IFK Goteborg +0.2581.0%

IFK Goteborg +0.586.2%

IFK Goteborg +0.7588.4%

IFK Goteborg +1.090.6%

IFK Goteborg +1.595.1%

IFK Goteborg +2.096.9%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

IFK Goteborg win1.53

Draw4.85

FCI Tallinn win7.22

Over 2.51.59

Under 2.52.68

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

IFK Goteborg wins by more than 1 goals43%

FCI Tallinn wins by more than 1 goals5%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 22/07 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.