UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers

IFK Goteborg vs Gent prediction

IFK Goteborg

0 – 1

Full-time

Gent

Match summary

IFK Goteborg vs Gent (UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers), 07/08/2026, finished 0-1: Gent won.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

IFK Goteborg

29%

Draw

30%

Gent

41%

Actual result: IFK Goteborg 0 – 1 Gent · Gent winJarvis gave this outcome: 41% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours IFK Goteborg, negative favours Gent) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (IFK Goteborg - Gent)-0.26

Expected total goals2.58

Expected goals IFK Goteborg / Gent1.16 / 1.42

Both teams to score (yes / no)53.9% / 46.1%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 74.8%

Over 2.5 goals 47.8%

Over 3.5 goals 26.1%

First half

First-half result (IFK Goteborg / draw / Gent)23.4% / 45.6% / 31.0%

A goal in the first half67.2%

Two or more in the first half33.9%

Half-time then full-time

Gent lead at half-time then Gent win24.9%

Level at half-time then draw18.8%

IFK Goteborg lead at half-time then IFK Goteborg win16.8%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from IFK Goteborg's side

IFK Goteborg −2.08.2%

IFK Goteborg −1.7510.3%

IFK Goteborg −1.512.4%

IFK Goteborg −1.2516.6%

IFK Goteborg −1.020.7%

IFK Goteborg −0.7524.8%

IFK Goteborg −0.528.9%

IFK Goteborg −0.2536.4%

IFK Goteborg draw no bet (0.0)43.8%

IFK Goteborg +0.2551.3%

IFK Goteborg +0.558.7%

IFK Goteborg +0.7563.9%

IFK Goteborg +1.069.0%

IFK Goteborg +1.579.4%

IFK Goteborg +2.085.8%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

IFK Goteborg win3.46

Draw3.35

Gent win2.42

Over 2.52.09

Under 2.51.91

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

IFK Goteborg wins by more than 1 goals12%

Gent wins by more than 1 goals21%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 07/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.