Brazilian Serie A

Internacional vs Flamengo prediction

1 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

Internacional vs Flamengo (Serie A), 30/07/2026, finished 1-1: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave Internacional 25%, the draw 29% and Flamengo 46%; the actual result had a 29% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 1-2. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 2.5.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Internacional

25%

Draw

29%

Flamengo

46%

Actual result: Internacional 1 – 1 Flamengo · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 29%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Internacional, negative favours Flamengo) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Internacional - Flamengo)-0.44

Expected total goals2.48

Expected goals Internacional / Flamengo1.02 / 1.46

Both teams to score (yes / no)50.5% / 49.5%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 72.3%

Over 2.5 goals 45.0%

Over 3.5 goals 23.7%

First half

First-half result (Internacional / draw / Flamengo)20.7% / 45.8% / 33.5%

A goal in the first half66.0%

Two or more in the first half31.8%

Half-time then full-time

Flamengo lead at half-time then Flamengo win27.8%

Level at half-time then draw18.9%

Level at half-time then Flamengo win16.8%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Internacional's side

Internacional −2.06.2%

Internacional −1.758.0%

Internacional −1.59.7%

Internacional −1.2513.5%

Internacional −1.017.3%

Internacional −0.7521.1%

Internacional −0.524.9%

Internacional −0.2532.2%

Internacional draw no bet (0.0)39.6%

Internacional +0.2546.9%

Internacional +0.554.2%

Internacional +0.7559.8%

Internacional +1.065.4%

Internacional +1.576.7%

Internacional +2.083.8%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Internacional win4.01

Draw3.41

Flamengo win2.18

Over 2.52.22

Under 2.51.82

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Internacional wins by more than 1 goals10%

Flamengo wins by more than 1 goals23%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 30/07 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.