UEFA Champions League Qualifiers

Slovan Bratislava vs FC Iberia 1999 prediction

1 – 1
Full-time

Match summary

Slovan Bratislava vs FC Iberia 1999 (Champions League), 30/07/2026, finished 1-1: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave Slovan Bratislava 72%, the draw 18% and FC Iberia 1999 10%; the actual result had a 18% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 2.9.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Slovan Bratislava
72%
Draw
18%
FC Iberia 1999
10%
Actual result: Slovan Bratislava 1 – 1 FC Iberia 1999 · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 18%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Slovan Bratislava, negative favours FC Iberia 1999) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Slovan Bratislava - FC Iberia 1999)+1.50
Expected total goals2.86
Expected goals Slovan Bratislava / FC Iberia 19992.18 / 0.68
Both teams to score (yes / no)43.7% / 56.3%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 77.8%
Over 2.5 goals 54.6%
Over 3.5 goals 32.2%
First half
First-half result (Slovan Bratislava / draw / FC Iberia 1999)52.3% / 36.2% / 11.6%
A goal in the first half72.6%
Two or more in the first half36.8%
Half-time then full-time
Slovan Bratislava lead at half-time then Slovan Bratislava win48.3%
Level at half-time then Slovan Bratislava win20.8%
Level at half-time then draw11.1%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Slovan Bratislava's side
Slovan Bratislava −2.036.7%
Slovan Bratislava −1.7542.1%
Slovan Bratislava −1.547.6%
Slovan Bratislava −1.2553.7%
Slovan Bratislava −1.059.8%
Slovan Bratislava −0.7565.9%
Slovan Bratislava −0.572.0%
Slovan Bratislava −0.2576.4%
Slovan Bratislava draw no bet (0.0)80.8%
Slovan Bratislava +0.2585.2%
Slovan Bratislava +0.589.6%
Slovan Bratislava +0.7591.5%
Slovan Bratislava +1.093.5%
Slovan Bratislava +1.597.4%
Slovan Bratislava +2.098.4%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Slovan Bratislava win1.39
Draw5.70
FC Iberia 1999 win9.61
Over 2.51.83
Under 2.52.20

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Slovan Bratislava wins by more than 1 goals48%
FC Iberia 1999 wins by more than 1 goals3%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Other matches on 30/07 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

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