UEFA Champions League Qualifiers

Universitatea Craiova vs PFC Levski Sofia prediction

2 – 2

Full-time

Match summary

Universitatea Craiova vs PFC Levski Sofia (Champions League), 30/07/2026, finished 2-2: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave Universitatea Craiova 45%, the draw 30% and PFC Levski Sofia 25%; the actual result had a 30% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 4 goals; Jarvis expected 2.3.

Next for PFC Levski Sofia: Viktoria Plzen (Fri 23/10, 02:00 GMT+7)

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Universitatea Craiova

45%

Draw

30%

PFC Levski Sofia

25%

Actual result: Universitatea Craiova 2 – 2 PFC Levski Sofia · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 30%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Universitatea Craiova, negative favours PFC Levski Sofia) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Universitatea Craiova - PFC Levski Sofia)+0.41

Expected total goals2.29

Expected goals Universitatea Craiova / PFC Levski Sofia1.35 / 0.94

Both teams to score (yes / no)46.4% / 53.6%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 68.0%

Over 2.5 goals 40.2%

Over 3.5 goals 19.9%

First half

First-half result (Universitatea Craiova / draw / PFC Levski Sofia)32.6% / 47.2% / 20.2%

A goal in the first half63.5%

Two or more in the first half28.5%

Half-time then full-time

Universitatea Craiova lead at half-time then Universitatea Craiova win27.1%

Level at half-time then draw20.0%

Level at half-time then Universitatea Craiova win16.9%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Universitatea Craiova's side

Universitatea Craiova −2.015.0%

Universitatea Craiova −1.7518.5%

Universitatea Craiova −1.521.9%

Universitatea Craiova −1.2527.7%

Universitatea Craiova −1.033.5%

Universitatea Craiova −0.7539.3%

Universitatea Craiova −0.545.1%

Universitatea Craiova −0.2552.6%

Universitatea Craiova draw no bet (0.0)60.2%

Universitatea Craiova +0.2567.7%

Universitatea Craiova +0.575.2%

Universitatea Craiova +0.7579.2%

Universitatea Craiova +1.083.1%

Universitatea Craiova +1.590.9%

Universitatea Craiova +2.094.3%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Universitatea Craiova win2.22

Draw3.32

PFC Levski Sofia win4.04

Over 2.52.49

Under 2.51.67

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Universitatea Craiova wins by more than 1 goals22%

PFC Levski Sofia wins by more than 1 goals9%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

PFC Levski Sofia

vs Viktoria Plzen (away)Fri 23/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
vs Jagiellonia BialystokFri 06/11, 00:45 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Other matches on 30/07 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.