French Ligue 1

Lorient vs Monaco prediction

Lorient

22:15, 18/10

GMT+7

Kicking off soon

Monaco

Quick preview

Lorient meet Monaco in the Ligue 1, kick-off 22:15 on 18/10 (GMT+7). In the table, Lorient are 10th (8 points from 6 games) and Monaco are 3rd (14 points from 6 games). Jarvis gives Lorient a 25% chance to win, 29% for a draw and 46% for Monaco; the score Jarvis predicts is 1-2. Jarvis expects 2.5 goals in the match: both teams score with 52%, 3 or more goals with 46%.

What is your call?

Pick a result to see what other readers think. A fun poll, no prize.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling

Offline

Lorient

25%

Draw

29%

Monaco

46%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Lorient, negative favours Monaco) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Lorient - Monaco)-0.44

Expected total goals2.53

Expected goals Lorient / Monaco1.04 / 1.49

Both teams to score (yes / no)51.8% / 48.2%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 73.6%

Over 2.5 goals 46.4%

Over 3.5 goals 24.9%

First half

First-half result (Lorient / draw / Monaco)20.8% / 45.6% / 33.6%

A goal in the first half66.7%

Two or more in the first half32.9%

Half-time then full-time

Monaco lead at half-time then Monaco win27.9%

Level at half-time then draw18.7%

Level at half-time then Monaco win16.8%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Lorient's side

Lorient −2.06.4%

Lorient −1.758.2%

Lorient −1.59.9%

Lorient −1.2513.7%

Lorient −1.017.4%

Lorient −0.7521.2%

Lorient −0.524.9%

Lorient −0.2532.2%

Lorient draw no bet (0.0)39.6%

Lorient +0.2546.9%

Lorient +0.554.2%

Lorient +0.7559.8%

Lorient +1.065.3%

Lorient +1.576.3%

Lorient +2.083.5%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Lorient win4.01

Draw3.41

Monaco win2.19

Over 2.52.15

Under 2.51.87

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Lorient wins by more than 1 goals10%

Monaco wins by more than 1 goals24%

Corners

Expected total corners9.3

6.5+ corners in the match45%

Cards

Expected total cards2.7

2.5+ cards in the match50%

Probability trajectory

Lorient vs Monaco injury report and team news

Lorient

N. MbambaOut · Muscle Injury

Monaco

P. BrunnerOut · Suspended
E. DierDoubtful · Muscle Injury
S. IdumboDoubtful · Injury

Lorient vs Monaco team form

LorientWLDWL

Last 5 matches
10/10/2026	Paris FC (home)	1–0	Ligue 1
19/09/2026	Le Mans (away)	1–2	Ligue 1
12/09/2026	Toulouse (home)	2–2	Ligue 1
05/09/2026	Lens (away)	1–0	Ligue 1
29/08/2026	Estac Troyes (home)	1–2	Ligue 1

MonacoWDWWD

Last 5 matches
15/10/2026	CSKA Sofia (away)	2–1	UEFA Europa Conference League
10/10/2026	Toulouse (home)	2–2	Ligue 1
03/10/2026	Pisa (home)	2–0	Friendly
18/09/2026	Lens (home)	2–1	Ligue 1
12/09/2026	Strasbourg (away)	1–1	Ligue 1

Lorient vs Monaco head to head (H2H)

Head to head record, last 10 meetings: Lorient won 3, drew 5, lost 2. Lorient scored 18 and conceded 18 goals.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
16/01/2026	Monaco	1–3	Lorient	Ligue 1
27/09/2025	Lorient	3–1	Monaco	Ligue 1
17/03/2024	Monaco	2–2	Lorient	Ligue 1
17/09/2023	Lorient	2–2	Monaco	Ligue 1
16/04/2023	Monaco	3–1	Lorient	Ligue 1
11/01/2023	Lorient	2–2	Monaco	Ligue 1
13/02/2022	Monaco	0–0	Lorient	Ligue 1
13/08/2021	Lorient	1–0	Monaco	Ligue 1
14/02/2021	Monaco	2–2	Lorient	Ligue 1
06/01/2021	Lorient	2–5	Monaco	Ligue 1

Match information

Referee: Marc Bollengier
Venue: Stade du Moustoir, Lorient
Round: 7

Next fixtures of both teams

Lorient

vs Angers (away)Sun 25/10, 23:15 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27
vs BrestSun 01/11, 02:45 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27

Monaco

vs LilleSun 25/10, 21:00 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27
vs Paris FC (away)Sun 01/11, 23:15 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27

Other matches on 18/10 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Ligue 1 table, latest

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint-Germain	7	+5	14
2	Lille	7	+5	14
3	AS Monaco	6	+5	14
4	Stade Rennais	6	+2	13
...
9	Toulouse	7	+1	9
10	Lorient	6	0	8
11	Nice	6	-2	8

See the full Ligue 1 table