Outcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Lorient
25%
Draw
30%
Paris FC
45%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Lorient, negative favours Paris FC) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Lorient - Paris FC)-0.41
Expected total goals2.50
Expected goals Lorient / Paris FC1.04 / 1.46
Both teams to score (yes / no)51.7% / 48.3%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 73.3%
Over 2.5 goals 45.7%
Over 3.5 goals 24.3%
First half
First-half result (Lorient / draw / Paris FC)20.8% / 46.3% / 32.9%
A goal in the first half66.1%
Two or more in the first half32.6%
Half-time then full-time
Paris FC lead at half-time then Paris FC win27.3%
Level at half-time then draw19.4%
Level at half-time then Paris FC win16.6%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Lorient's side
Lorient −2.06.5%
Lorient −1.758.3%
Lorient −1.510.1%
Lorient −1.2513.9%
Lorient −1.017.6%
Lorient −0.7521.4%
Lorient −0.525.2%
Lorient −0.2532.7%
Lorient draw no bet (0.0)40.2%
Lorient +0.2547.7%
Lorient +0.555.2%
Lorient +0.7560.7%
Lorient +1.066.1%
Lorient +1.577.0%
Lorient +2.084.0%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Lorient win3.98
Draw3.32
Paris FC win2.23
Over 2.52.19
Under 2.51.84
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Lorient wins by more than 1 goals10%
Paris FC wins by more than 1 goals23%
Corners
Expected total corners8.9
6.5+ corners in the match53%
Cards
Expected total cards3.1
2.5+ cards in the match61%