Malaga vs Real Sociedad prediction
Quick preview
Malaga meet Real Sociedad in the La Liga, kick-off 23:30 on 18/10 (GMT+7). In the table, Malaga are 20th (4 points from 8 games) and Real Sociedad are 6th (13 points from 8 games). Jarvis gives Malaga a 27% chance to win, 28% for a draw and 44% for Real Sociedad; the score Jarvis predicts is 1-2. Jarvis expects 2.7 goals in the match: both teams score with 56%, 3 or more goals with 52%.
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Outcome probability


Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Probability trajectory
Malaga vs Real Sociedad injury report and team news
Malaga- J. CruzOut · Injury
- M. DiarraOut · Calf Injury
- J. LobeteOut · Knee Injury
- D. MurilloOut · Knee Injury
- A. OchoaOut · Knee Injury
Real Sociedad- L. BeitiaOut · Ankle Injury
- P. MarinOut · Red Card
- A. OdriozolaOut · Knee Injury
Malaga vs Real Sociedad team form
MalagaDLLDD| 09/10/2026 | Espanyol (home) | 1–1 |
| 20/09/2026 | Getafe (away) | 0–1 |
| 17/09/2026 | Villarreal (home) | 1–3 |
| 13/09/2026 | Celta Vigo (away) | 1–1 |
| 06/09/2026 | Levante (home) | 0–0 |
Real SociedadDWLWL| 15/10/2026 | Union St. Gilloise (away) | 1–1 |
| 11/10/2026 | Deportivo La Coruna (home) | 3–2 |
| 02/10/2026 | Athletic Club (home) | 0–1 |
| 20/09/2026 | Valencia (away) | 3–2 |
| 17/09/2026 | Bournemouth (home) | 1–2 |
Malaga vs Real Sociedad head to head (H2H)
Head to head record, last 10 meetings: Malaga won 4, drew 3, lost 3. Malaga scored 12 and conceded 9 goals.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01/2024 | Malaga | 0–1 | Real Sociedad |
| 22/04/2018 | Malaga | 2–0 | Real Sociedad |
| 10/12/2017 | Real Sociedad | 0–2 | Malaga |
| 14/05/2017 | Real Sociedad | 2–2 | Malaga |
| 16/01/2017 | Malaga | 0–2 | Real Sociedad |
| 27/02/2016 | Real Sociedad | 1–1 | Malaga |
| 03/10/2015 | Malaga | 3–1 | Real Sociedad |
| 04/04/2015 | Malaga | 1–1 | Real Sociedad |
| 01/11/2014 | Real Sociedad | 0–1 | Malaga |
| 17/02/2014 | Malaga | 0–1 | Real Sociedad |
Match information
- Referee
- Luis Bestard Servera
- Venue
- La Rosaleda, Malaga
- Round
- 9
Next fixtures of both teams
- vs Alaves (away)Sat 24/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
- vs Real Betis (away)Sun 01/11, 00:30 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
- vs Lillestrom (away)Fri 23/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
- vs LevanteMon 26/10, 00:30 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
Other matches on 18/10 (GMT+7)
- ESTAC Troyes vs Lens01:45 · Ligue 11–3
- Roma vs Genoa01:45 · Serie A2–0
- Lille vs Brest01:45 · Ligue 11–1
- Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao02:00 · La Liga0–0
- Udinese vs Lecce17:30 · Serie A52% / 27% / 20%
- Osasuna vs Racing Santander19:00 · La Liga48% / 26% / 26%
The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.
La Liga table, latest
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 9 | +30 | 27 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 9 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 9 | +2 | 19 |
| ... | ||||
| 5 | Sevilla | 8 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 8 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Alaves | 8 | +4 | 11 |
| ... | ||||
| 19 | Valencia | 9 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 | Malaga | 8 | -9 | 4 |















