Brazilian Serie A

Mirassol vs Remo prediction

2 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

Mirassol vs Remo (Serie A), 30/07/2026, finished 2-1: Mirassol won. Before the match Jarvis gave Mirassol 56%, the draw 26% and Remo 18%; the actual result had a 56% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 3 goals; Jarvis expected 2.6.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Mirassol

56%

Draw

26%

Remo

18%

Actual result: Mirassol 2 – 1 Remo · Mirassol winJarvis gave this outcome: 56% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Mirassol, negative favours Remo) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Mirassol - Remo)+0.85

Expected total goals2.63

Expected goals Mirassol / Remo1.74 / 0.89

Both teams to score (yes / no)49.8% / 50.2%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 75.1%

Over 2.5 goals 48.9%

Over 3.5 goals 27.1%

First half

First-half result (Mirassol / draw / Remo)40.5% / 43.1% / 16.4%

A goal in the first half68.3%

Two or more in the first half34.2%

Half-time then full-time

Mirassol lead at half-time then Mirassol win35.5%

Level at half-time then Mirassol win19.2%

Level at half-time then draw16.5%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Mirassol's side

Mirassol −2.023.5%

Mirassol −1.7527.9%

Mirassol −1.532.3%

Mirassol −1.2538.3%

Mirassol −1.044.3%

Mirassol −0.7550.2%

Mirassol −0.556.2%

Mirassol −0.2562.7%

Mirassol draw no bet (0.0)69.2%

Mirassol +0.2575.7%

Mirassol +0.582.2%

Mirassol +0.7585.1%

Mirassol +1.088.0%

Mirassol +1.593.8%

Mirassol +2.096.1%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Mirassol win1.78

Draw3.85

Remo win5.61

Over 2.52.04

Under 2.51.96

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Mirassol wins by more than 1 goals32%

Remo wins by more than 1 goals6%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 30/07 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.