Elite Friendlies

Monaco vs Getafe prediction

1 – 0
Full-time

Match summary

Monaco vs Getafe (Elite Friendlies), 07/08/2026, finished 1-0: Monaco won. Before the match Jarvis gave Monaco 53%, the draw 25% and Getafe 22%; the actual result had a 53% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 1 goal; Jarvis expected 3.0.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Monaco
53%
Draw
25%
Getafe
22%
Actual result: Monaco 1 – 0 Getafe · Monaco winJarvis gave this outcome: 53% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Monaco, negative favours Getafe) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Monaco - Getafe)+0.73
Expected total goals3.03
Expected goals Monaco / Getafe1.88 / 1.15
Both teams to score (yes / no)59.3% / 40.7%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 81.9%
Over 2.5 goals 58.4%
Over 3.5 goals 36.0%
First half
First-half result (Monaco / draw / Getafe)39.5% / 40.9% / 19.7%
A goal in the first half73.0%
Two or more in the first half41.0%
Half-time then full-time
Monaco lead at half-time then Monaco win33.6%
Level at half-time then Monaco win17.5%
Level at half-time then draw14.9%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Monaco's side
Monaco −2.022.9%
Monaco −1.7527.1%
Monaco −1.531.2%
Monaco −1.2536.7%
Monaco −1.042.2%
Monaco −0.7547.6%
Monaco −0.553.1%
Monaco −0.2559.3%
Monaco draw no bet (0.0)65.6%
Monaco +0.2571.9%
Monaco +0.578.2%
Monaco +0.7581.4%
Monaco +1.084.6%
Monaco +1.591.0%
Monaco +2.094.2%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Monaco win1.88
Draw3.98
Getafe win4.58
Over 2.51.71
Under 2.52.40

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Monaco wins by more than 1 goals31%
Getafe wins by more than 1 goals9%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs Lorient (away)Sun 18/10, 22:15 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27
  • vs LilleSun 25/10, 21:00 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27
  • vs Rayo VallecanoTue 20/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
  • vs Athletic Club (away)Sun 25/10, 20:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27

Other matches on 07/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.