Outcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Napoli
67%
Draw
19%
Frosinone
13%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Napoli, negative favours Frosinone) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Napoli - Frosinone)+1.37
Expected total goals3.24
Expected goals Napoli / Frosinone2.31 / 0.93
Both teams to score (yes / no)55.3% / 44.7%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 84.1%
Over 2.5 goals 62.9%
Over 3.5 goals 40.7%
First half
First-half result (Napoli / draw / Frosinone)49.8% / 36.2% / 14.0%
A goal in the first half75.9%
Two or more in the first half43.6%
Half-time then full-time
Napoli lead at half-time then Napoli win45.2%
Level at half-time then Napoli win19.7%
Level at half-time then draw11.4%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Napoli's side
Napoli −2.035.1%
Napoli −1.7540.2%
Napoli −1.545.2%
Napoli −1.2550.8%
Napoli −1.056.3%
Napoli −0.7561.9%
Napoli −0.567.5%
Napoli −0.2572.4%
Napoli draw no bet (0.0)77.2%
Napoli +0.2582.1%
Napoli +0.586.9%
Napoli +0.7589.1%
Napoli +1.091.3%
Napoli +1.595.6%
Napoli +2.097.2%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Napoli win1.48
Draw5.14
Frosinone win7.66
Over 2.51.59
Under 2.52.69
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Napoli wins by more than 1 goals45%
Frosinone wins by more than 1 goals4%
Corners
Expected total corners10.2
6.5+ corners in the match44%
Cards
Expected total cards2.7
2.5+ cards in the match50%