UEFA Champions League
Paris St-G vs Slovan Bratislava prediction
6 – 1
Full-timeOutcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Paris St-G
95%
Draw
4%
Slovan Bratislava
1%
Actual result: Paris St-G 6 – 1 Slovan Bratislava · Paris St-G winJarvis gave this outcome: 95% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Paris St-G, negative favours Slovan Bratislava) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Paris St-G - Slovan Bratislava)+3.88
Expected total goals4.79
Expected goals Paris St-G / Slovan Bratislava4.34 / 0.46
Both teams to score (yes / no)36.3% / 63.7%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 95.4%
Over 2.5 goals 85.7%
Over 3.5 goals 70.5%
First half
First-half result (Paris St-G / draw / Slovan Bratislava)79.7% / 17.7% / 2.7%
A goal in the first half87.9%
Two or more in the first half64.0%
Half-time then full-time
Paris St-G lead at half-time then Paris St-G win79.0%
Level at half-time then Paris St-G win15.0%
Level at half-time then draw2.3%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Paris St-G's side
Paris St-G −2.079.8%
Paris St-G −1.7583.4%
Paris St-G −1.586.9%
Paris St-G −1.2589.0%
Paris St-G −1.091.1%
Paris St-G −0.7593.2%
Paris St-G −0.595.3%
Paris St-G −0.2596.2%
Paris St-G draw no bet (0.0)97.2%
Paris St-G +0.2598.2%
Paris St-G +0.599.1%
Paris St-G +0.7599.3%
Paris St-G +1.099.5%
Paris St-G +1.599.8%
Paris St-G +2.099.9%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Paris St-G win1.05
Draw26.09
Slovan Bratislava win112.17
Over 2.51.17
Under 2.56.99
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Paris St-G wins by more than 1 goals86%
Slovan Bratislava wins by more than 1 goals0%
Corners
Expected total corners10.9
6.5+ corners in the match53%
Cards
Expected total cards2.4
2.5+ cards in the match42%