Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Stuttgart
78%
Draw
13%
Viking
9%
Actual result: Stuttgart 3 – 1 Viking · Stuttgart winJarvis gave this outcome: 78% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Stuttgart, negative favours Viking) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Stuttgart - Viking)+2.07
Expected total goals4.02
Expected goals Stuttgart / Viking3.04 / 0.97
Both teams to score (yes / no)59.4% / 40.6%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 91.2%
Over 2.5 goals 76.4%
Over 3.5 goals 57.0%
First half
First-half result (Stuttgart / draw / Viking)60.0% / 28.7% / 11.3%
A goal in the first half83.1%
Two or more in the first half54.4%
Half-time then full-time
Stuttgart lead at half-time then Stuttgart win56.2%
Level at half-time then Stuttgart win18.6%
Level at half-time then draw6.9%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Stuttgart's side
Stuttgart −2.049.7%
Stuttgart −1.7554.8%
Stuttgart −1.559.8%
Stuttgart −1.2564.5%
Stuttgart −1.069.1%
Stuttgart −0.7573.7%
Stuttgart −0.578.4%
Stuttgart −0.2581.6%
Stuttgart draw no bet (0.0)84.9%
Stuttgart +0.2588.2%
Stuttgart +0.591.5%
Stuttgart +0.7592.9%
Stuttgart +1.094.4%
Stuttgart +1.597.2%
Stuttgart +2.098.3%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Stuttgart win1.28
Draw7.61
Viking win11.75
Over 2.51.31
Under 2.54.24
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Stuttgart wins by more than 1 goals60%
Viking wins by more than 1 goals3%
Corners
Expected total corners10.2
6.5+ corners in the match44%
Cards
Expected total cards3.4
2.5+ cards in the match44%