Spanish La Liga

Racing Santander vs Valencia prediction

Racing Santander

02:00, 12/10

Kicking off soon

Valencia

Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling

Offline

Racing Santander

42%

Draw

29%

Valencia

29%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Racing Santander, negative favours Valencia) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Racing Santander - Valencia)+0.28

Expected total goals2.78

Expected goals Racing Santander / Valencia1.53 / 1.25

Both teams to score (yes / no)57.6% / 42.4%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 78.3%

Over 2.5 goals 52.5%

Over 3.5 goals 30.3%

First half

First-half result (Racing Santander / draw / Valencia)31.9% / 44.1% / 24.0%

A goal in the first half69.7%

Two or more in the first half37.2%

Half-time then full-time

Racing Santander lead at half-time then Racing Santander win25.6%

Level at half-time then draw17.6%

Valencia lead at half-time then Valencia win17.2%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Racing Santander's side

Racing Santander −2.015.3%

Racing Santander −1.7518.5%

Racing Santander −1.521.8%

Racing Santander −1.2526.9%

Racing Santander −1.031.9%

Racing Santander −0.7537.0%

Racing Santander −0.542.1%

Racing Santander −0.2549.2%

Racing Santander draw no bet (0.0)56.4%

Racing Santander +0.2563.5%

Racing Santander +0.570.7%

Racing Santander +0.7574.7%

Racing Santander +1.078.8%

Racing Santander +1.586.9%

Racing Santander +2.091.3%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Racing Santander win2.38

Draw3.49

Valencia win3.41

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.52.11

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Racing Santander wins by more than 1 goals22%

Valencia wins by more than 1 goals13%

Corners

Expected total corners10.1

6.5+ corners in the match56%

Cards

Expected total cards2.7

2.5+ cards in the match50%

Outcome probability

Probability trajectory